Landsdale – WA 2021

ALP 9.7%

Incumbent MP
Margaret Quirk, member for Girrawheen since 2017.

Geography
Outer north of Perth. The entire seat lies on the eastern side of Wanneroo Road, including the suburbs of Darch, Girrawheen, Marangaroo, Lansdale and Madeley. The seat is contained in the southern end of the City of Wanneroo.

Redistribution
Landsdale is a new electorate, primarily replacing the seat of Girrawheen. Landsdale lies further to the north than Girrawheen. Lansdale gained Hocking and Pearson from Wanneroo, gained Alexander Heights from Mirrabooka and also gained Wangara from West Swan. Marangaroo and Girrawheen were transferred to Mirrabooka. These changes significantly reduced the Labor margin from 16.7% to 9.7%.

History
Girrawheen was created at the 1996 election as a safe Labor seat in northern Perth.

The seat was first won by Ted Cunningham, who had held other seats for Labor since 1988.

After one term, the seat was won in 2001 by Margaret Quirk. She was appointed to the ministry after the 2005 election and has served as a shadow minister since the 2008 election.

The ALP’s margin was 12.6% at the first election in 1996, which increased at the 2001 and 2005 elections to a peak of 23.4%. The seat’s margin fell back to a reasonably safe 11.5% margin in 2008. The next redistribution made the seat less safe for Labor, and Quirk held on by a slim 2.4% margin in 2013. She significantly increased her margin in 2017 thanks to a swing of 14%.

Candidates

Assessment
Landsdale at first glance is held by a substantial margin but it’s worth noting that the swing to Labor in 2017 in the predecessor seat was 14% – it is quite easy to see this seat going back to the Liberal Party if the election is close.

2017 result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Margaret Quirk Labor 13,45256.5+12.050.0
Dame Krcoski Liberal 6,48427.2-14.932.0
Mushfiq Shah Greens 1,3535.7+0.16.2
David PhillipsAustralian Christians9053.8+0.13.7
Sahaj SinghMicro Business3561.5+1.51.6
Che Tam NguyenFamily First6622.8-1.31.5
Raymond RoachShooters, Fishers & Farmers6072.5+2.51.4
3.5
Informal 1,3755.5

2017 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Margaret Quirk Labor 15,88366.7+14.059.7
Dame Krcoski Liberal 7,92733.3-14.040.3

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: north, south-east and south-west.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 55.1% in the south-west to 64.2% in the south-east.

Voter groupALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
South-East64.27,45131.7
South-West55.15,30522.6
North57.93,86416.4
Pre-poll59.02,41810.3
Other votes59.84,45319.0

Two-party-preferred votes in Landsdale at the 2017 WA state election

2 COMMENTS

  1. A very different seat to the old Girrawheen. Girrawheen had been safe Labor, traditionally lying south of Hepburn Ave, only creeping north in the last decade. Landsdale sits only slightly to the Labor side of the pendulum median and I’m pretty sure it would have Liberal majority on federal figures. Labor is unlikely to be troubled this time but in a more competitive election this would be a seat to watch.

  2. Agree with Mr. Walsh – Labor should hold this in 2021, but if these boundaries stick 2025 should see this become a key seat.

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