- Bruce Atkinson (LIB), since 2006. Previously MLC for Koonung 1992-2006.
- Richard Dalla-Riva (LIB), since 2006. Previously MLC for East Yarra 2002-2006.
- Jan Kronberg (LIB), since 2006.
- Shaun Leane (ALP), since 2006.
- Brian Tee (ALP), since 2006.
Eastern Metropolitan region covers the electoral districts of Bayswater, Box Hill, Bulleen, Doncaster, Eltham, Ferntree Gully, Forest Hill, Kilsyth, Mitcham, Scoresby and Warrandyte. Eastern Metropolitan mainly covers areas to the east and south of the Yarra River, with the exception of Eltham district, which lies on the north shore of the Yarra.
Eight of the eleven seats are held by the Liberal Party, with the other three held by the ALP. Two of those Labor seats (Forest Hill and Mitcham) are very marginal, while Eltham is slightly safer at 6.5%. A number of the Liberal seats are very marginal. Ferntree Gully was the most marginal seat at the 2006 election, and Kilsyth, Bayswater and Box Hill are also marginal electorates.
Doncaster, Bulleen, Warrandyte and Scoresby are much safer, with margins between 8.1% and 11.2%.
|Democratic Labor Party||5,837||1.55||0.0932|
The Liberal Party polled most strongly in Eastern Metropolitan in 2006. The Liberal Party polled two full quotas and over two thirds of another quota.
The ALP polled just over two quotas, while the Greens polled 63% of a quota. After preferences from the ALP and minor parties, the final vote was:
- Kronberg (LIB) – 1.03 quotas
- Pemberton (GRN) – 0.92
Overall the final margin was 7366 votes, which translates to 1.96% of the total vote in Eastern Metropolitan region.
It is unclear which sitting Liberal MLCs are running for re-election, but the Liberal Party is also running Grace Tse and Miriam Rawson. The Greens are running Damian Magner.
The first two Liberal seats and the first Labor seat can be judged as safe. It would require a large swing away from the ALP of at least 4% to really put the second Labor seat in danger.
The most likely change would be if the Liberals were to lose their third seat. A swing of 1% from the Liberal Party to either the Greens or to Labor (and thus passing to the Greens in preferences) would be sufficient to overturn the result and electing a Greens candidate.