Aspley – Queensland 2012

LNP 4.5%

Incumbent MP
Tracy Davis, since 2009.

Geography
South-East Queensland. Aspley covers the northern Brisbane suburbs of Bridgeman Downs, Carseldine, Aspley and parts of Bald Hills, McDowall and Chermside West.

History
The seat of Aspley has existed since 1960. For most of that period the seat was contested between the Liberal Party and the National Party, apart from the period from 2001 to 2009 when it was held by the ALP.

Fred Campbell held the seat for the Liberal Party from 1960 to 1980. He was succeeded in 1980 by Beryce Nelson, who won the seat for the Liberal Party.

In 1983, Nelson lost to the National Party’s candidate, former newsreader Brian Cahill.

After losing the seat, Nelson switched to the National Party, and was elected again as Member for Aspley in 1986. In 1989, Nelson was again defeated, losing to the Liberal Party’s John Goss.

Goss helped the seat throughout the 1990s, twice serving as a shadow minister in National-Liberal coalitions.

In 2001, Goss was defeated by the ALP’s Bonny Barry. Barry won successive terms in 2004 and 2006, and in 2009 was defeated by the Liberal National Party’s Tracy Davis. Davis currently serves as Shadow Minister for Disability Services, Mental Health and Child Safety.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Tracy Davis is running for re-election. The ALP is running Oskar Bronowicki.

• Allan Vincent (Family First)
• Tracy Davis (Liberal National)
• Oskar Bronowicki (Labor)
• David Forrest (Greens)

Political situation
Aspley is a marginal LNP seat but should be easily maintained in 2012.

2009 result

2009 two-candidate-preferred result

Booth breakdown
Booths in Aspley have been divided into three areas: Bald Hills in the north, and booths in the centre and the south.

The LNP won a majority of the vote in the south and centre of the seat, while the ALP won a majority in Bald Hills.