Shellharbour – NSW 2011

ALP 21.6% vs IND

Incumbent MP
Lylea McMahon, since 2007.

Geography
Illawarra. Shellharbour includes parts of the City of Shellharbour and the City of Wollongong. It includes the Shellharbour CBD as well as Flinders, Blackbutt, Oak Flats, Mount Warrigal, Warilla and Dapto.

History
The electoral district of Shellharbour was created prior to the 2007 election. The redistribution had abolished the seat of Illawarra, which included a large part of the current seat of Shellharbour. Both the former Illawarra and the current Shellharbour have always elected ALP candidates.

The electoral district of Illawarra had existed in various forms since 1859. It was restored in 1927, when it was won by the ALP’s Andrew Lysaght Jr. He had previously won one of the seats in Wollondilly in 1925. He moved to the new seat of Bulli and became Attorney-General in the Lang government. Clashes with his rivals saw him resign from the ministry in 1931, and he died in office in 1933.

He was replaced in Illawarra in 1930 by Billy Davies, who had held other Illawarra-based seats since 1917. He served in both Lang governments in 1927 and 1930-32. In 1941 he moved to the new seat of Wollongong-Kembla, and in 1949 moved to the federal seat of Cunningham. He held that seat until his death in 1956.

The ALP’s Howard Fowles won Illawarra in 1941, and held it until his retirement in 1968. Illawarra was abolished in 1968, when the neighbouring seat of Wollongong-Kembla was split into two districts, named Wollongong and Kembla.

Kembla was won in 1968 by George Petersen, but in 1971 the seat was renamed Illawarra, and Petersen retained that seat. Petersen was expelled from the ALP in 1987, and ran in 1988 for his own Illawarra Workers Party.

Petersen was defeated by the ALP candidate Terry Rumble. He was re-elected in 1991 and 1995, and retired in 1999.

Marianne Saliba won Illawarra in 1999. She held it until 2007, when she retired and Illawarra was replaced by Shellharbour. Shellharbour was won by Lylea McMahon, who has been a parliamentary secretary since 2008.

Candidates

• Peter Moran (Greens)
• Larissa Mallinson (Liberal)
• Anna Watson (Labor)
• Jeff Dakers (Christian Democratic Party)

Political situation
Shellharbour is a very safe seat for the ALP in a contest with the Liberal Party. The seat could be vulnerable if a strong independent candidate emerges.

2007 result

2007 two-candidate-preferred result

Booth breakdown
Booths in Shellharbour have been divided into three areas. The Dapto area in the City of Wollongong is divided from the remainder of the seat by Lake Illawarra. The remainder of the seat has been divided into Warilla and Shellharbour-Oak Flats.

In 2007, the ALP’s main opposition came from the independent Lord Mayor of Wollongong, Alex Darling. The ALP won a majority of primary votes in all parts of the seat, varying from 55% in Shellharbour to 61% in Warilla. The independent polled over 20% in Dapto, but much lower in the other areas. Dapto was the weakest area for the Liberal Party and the Greens.