LIB 5.1%
Incumbent MP
Andrew Constance, since 2003.
Geography
South-eastern NSW. Bega covers all of Eurobodalla Shire and most of Bega Valley Shire. The seat covers the towns of Bega, Eden, Batemans Bay and Moruya.
History
Bega in its current form has existed since 1988. It has always been held by the Liberal Party. A seat of the same name also existed from 1894 to 1920.
The seat was won in 1988 by the Liberal Party’s Russell Smith. He held the seat until his retirement in 2003.
Andrew Constance has held Bega since 2003 for the Liberal Party.
Candidates
- Ivan McKay (Independent)
- Leanne Atkinson (Labor)
- Harriet Swift (Greens)
- Andrew Constance (Liberal)
- Ursula Bennett (Christian Democratic Party)
Political situation
Bega is not held by a very large margin, but the Liberal Party should retain the seat untroubled.
2007 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Andrew Constance | LIB | 20,196 | 46.9 | +10.8 |
| Wilma Chinnock | ALP | 15,053 | 34.9 | +4.5 |
| Margaret Perger | GRN | 3,248 | 7.5 | -2.6 |
| David Hede | IND | 3,071 | 7.1 | +7.1 |
| Philip Hodge | AAFI | 799 | 1.9 | +1.9 |
| Wess Buckley | CDP | 714 | 1.7 | +0.4 |
2007 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Andrew Constance | LIB | 21,778 | 55.1 | +0.4 |
| Wilma Chinnock | ALP | 17,771 | 44.9 | -0.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Bega have been divided into four areas. Each local government area has been split between North and South. Eurobodalla North covers Batemans Bay. Eurobodalla South covers Narooma. Bega Valley North covers Bega, Bega Valley South covers Merimbula and Eden.
The Liberal Party’s margin varied from 56.8% in Bega Valley South to 51.1% in Bega Valley North.
| Voter group | GRN % | LIB 2CP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Eurobodalla North | 7.3 | 55.3 | 12,422 | 28.8 |
| Bega Valley South | 6.5 | 56.8 | 8,547 | 19.8 |
| Bega Valley North | 9.0 | 51.1 | 7,166 | 16.6 |
| Eurobodalla South | 7.3 | 53.8 | 5,045 | 11.7 |
| Other votes | 7.8 | 56.8 | 9,901 | 23.0 |
Labor have announced Leanne Atkinson as their candidate.
The independent David Hede was a local councillor. Another local councillor, Chris Vardon, got over 15% of the vote in 2003.
As broken down there is a very narrow range of results in this seat 51 to 57% for the libs.
the Eden- Monaro figures for 2010 would make this very marginal.
This in a normal election could change sides
Ursula Bennett is running for the CDP.
My prediction: Liberal retain, 10-12% swing.
The final candidate here is independent Ivan McKay, a former broadcasting engineer with some community involvement around Merimbula, who unsuccessfully ran for Bega Valley council in 2008.
Hi there,
just wanted to let you know the address for my blog/website, as included in your reply box. Could this be included as a hyper link as per the other candidates?
kind regards