Fadden – Australia 2022

LNP 14.2%

Incumbent MP
Stuart Robert, since 2007.

Geography
Fadden covers northern parts of the Gold Coast. The seat stretches as far south as Ernest, Labrador and Biggera Waters, and extends north to the Logan River.

History
Fadden was created for the 1977 election as a seat straddling the southern fringe of Brisbane and the northern Gold Coast as a marginal Liberal seat. It has been won by the Liberal Party or the LNP at every election bar one, and became much safer through the 1990s as it contracted into the Gold Coast.

Fadden was first won in 1977 by Liberal MP Donald Cameron. Cameron had previously won the marginal seat of Griffith in 1966, and held it until Fadden’s creation in 1977. Cameron held Fadden for two terms, losing it in 1983 to Labor candidate David Beddall. Cameron won the neighbouring seat of Moreton at a by-election eight months later and held it until his defeat in 1990.

Beddall moved to the new seat of Rankin in 1984, which he held until his retirement in 1998. Fadden returned to the Liberal Party, electing David Jull, who had previously held Bowman from 1975 to 1983. Jull was appointed to John Howard’s first ministry in 1996, but was forced to resign as a minister in 1997 due to his failure to prevent travel rorts by other MPs. He remained  on the backbenches for the remainder of the Howard government, and retired in 2007.

The seat of Fadden was won in 2007 by Liberal candidate Stuart Robert, who has held the seat ever since.

Candidates

  • Stewart Brooker (Independent)
  • Letitia Del Fabbro (Labor)
  • Nathan O’Brien (United Australia)
  • Sandy Roach (One Nation)
  • Stuart Robert (Liberal National)
  • Sally Spain (Greens)
  • Alex Forbes (Liberal Democrats)
  • Assessment
    Fadden is a safe LNP seat.

    2019 result

    CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
    Stuart Robert Liberal National 47,35948.7-0.7
    Luz Stanton Labor 21,88222.5-3.5
    Scott Turner Greens 8,7479.0+1.4
    Darren EatherOne Nation8,3348.6-3.4
    Mara KrischkerUnited Australia Party4,9685.1+5.1
    Jake WelchLiberal Democrats4,3914.5+4.5
    Allan BarberConservative National Party1,5311.6+1.6
    Informal5,0194.9+0.4

    2019 two-party-preferred result

    CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
    Stuart Robert Liberal National 62,38764.2+2.9
    Luz Stanton Labor 34,82535.8-2.9

    Booth breakdown

    Booths have been divided into four areas: central, north, south and west.

    The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 54.9% in the south to 63.3% in the centre.

    Voter groupGRN prim %LNP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
    West10.861.119,91620.5
    South12.554.99,5819.9
    Central9.163.38,8519.1
    North8.063.25,7325.9
    Pre-poll7.168.137,89639.0
    Other votes9.565.215,23615.7

    Election results in Fadden at the 2019 federal election
    Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party and Labor.

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    6 COMMENTS

    1. It would be interesting to see if the LNP do better with Crisafulli as leader in this area and whether Robert retires considering he isn’t the most popular Liberal MP

      Liberal retain

    2. Daniel
      You would need a crowbar to get rid of this bloke. He is going nowhere he is a “lifer”. Robert will die in office.
      For some reason Peta Credlin has a particular antipathy, perhaps even deep loathing for this bloke. Seeing as she was Abbot’s chief of staff, or gatekeeper her opinion has weight Predictably this 6’3” “Wonder Woman” rubbed a lot of blokes up the wrong way, & got to see them act like “giant toddlers”!. So if she doesn’t like someone i feel it’s noteworthy.
      Credlin reminds me of my ex Mrs WD mk 1. She has 7 brothers .Good luck any man trying to intimidate her, that’s suicidal. !. She was a school headmistress….!

      Robert is the PM’s best mate inside politics, maybe outside too.. Friends in politics…..!? Keating was right “get a dog”. I truly have no idea what but something is not right with this bloke. His record as a twice failed minister is enough in itself. Yep, if i were PM Frydenberg My first order of business would be to punt Robert.

    3. Stuart Robert is a dud as a minster. Robert’s helped create Robodebt which not only was ruled unlawful by the courts but also wasted hundreds of millions of dollars with it’s failed implementation. Roberts also says with a straight face on Insiders that big business’s won’t have to pay back millions it was overpaid with Jobkeeper despite getting massive profits. This is despite chasing down people on welfare for there incorrect overpayments which shows the double standards.

      Roberts will retain though, because this seat is too safe Liberal. Interestingly though this seat was won by Labor in the 1983 election. But the Labor member David Beddall abandoned the seat to contest Rankin at the 1984 election. My guess a unfavorable redistribution would have spurred the move.

    4. PN correct. In 1983 Fadden included most of the Gold Coast hinterland (now in Wright) but also stretched all the way into Southern Brisbane around Sunnybank (now in Moreton).

    5. This is a safe Coalition seat even with the unremarkable and unlikeable Stuart Robert. He was Scott Morrison’s numbers man when Morrison was counting numbers for his the leadership ballot. Consequently Stuart Robert has been promoted beyond his ability.

    6. I have been a Liberal voter all my life, but there is no way I would vote for Robert or Crisafulli. We need to do better!

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