- Rachel Carling-Jenkins (Conservatives), since 20141
- Khalil Eideh (Labor), since 2006
- Bernie Finn (Liberal), since 2006
- Cesar Melhem (Labor), since 2013
- Huong Truong (Greens), since 20182
1Rachel Carling-Jenkins changed party affiliation on 26 June 2017, from the Democratic Labour Party to the Australian Conservatives.
2Huong Truong replaced Colleen Hartland on 21 February 2018 following Colleen Hartland’s resignation.
|Altona||ALP 12.6%||Niddrie||ALP 7.7%||Tarneit||ALP 14.6%|
|Essendon||ALP 8.7%||St Albans||ALP 17.5%||Werribee||ALP 15.7%|
|Footscray||ALP 14.5%||Sunbury||ALP 4.3%||Williamstown||ALP 16.5%|
|Kororoit||ALP 20.0%||Sydenham||ALP 16.3%|
The Western Metropolitan region covers the western suburbs from Sunbury in the north to Werribee in the south, and as far east as Williamstown and Essendon.
All eleven seats in the region are held by the ALP. None of these seats are particular marginal, with margins ranging from 4.3% in Sunbury to 20% in Kororoit.
Western Metropolitan region was created in 2006, when proportional representation was introduced.
At the first election, the ALP won three seats, and the Liberal Party and the Greens each won one seat.
In 2010, Labor lost their third seat to the Liberal Party.
That second Liberal seat fell in 2014 to DLP candidate Rachel Carling-Jenkins, now a member of the Australian Conservatives.
|Democratic Labour Party||11,183||2.6||-0.5||0.1540|
|Palmer United Party||9,629||2.2||+2.2||0.1326|
|Voice for the West||7,757||1.8||+1.8||0.1068|
|Shooters and Fishers||5,406||1.2||+1.2||0.0745|
On primary votes, Labor won two seats, and the Liberal Party won one.
We can fast forward to the last ten candidates running for the last two seats:
- Colleen Hartland (GRN) – 0.6585 quotas
- Stanley Chiang (ALP) – 0.6307
- Andrew Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4148
- Zeev Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3334
- Rachel Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.3311
- Vicki Nash (SXP) – 0.1677
- Trevor Dance (PUP) – 0.1359
- Berhan Ahmed (VFW) – 0.1266
- Roy Taylor (AJP) – 0.0954
- Jaxon Calder (FF) – 0.0947
Family First preferences flowed to Voice for the West, pushing Ahmed ahead of the Sex Party and Palmer United:
- Hartland (GRN) – 0.6590
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6311
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4166
- Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3338
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.3323
- Ahmed (VFW) – 0.2108
- Nash (SXP) – 0.1681
- Dance (PUP) – 0.1365
- Taylor (AJP) – 0.0961
Animal Justice preferences gave a boost to the Sex Party:
- Hartland (GRN) – 0.6625
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6319
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4171
- Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3340
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.3329
- Nash (SXP) – 0.2537
- Ahmed (VFW) – 0.2115
- Dance (PUP) – 0.1371
Palmer United preferences flowed to the Greens:
- Hartland (GRN) – 0.7894
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6329
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4181
- Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3346
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.3335
- Nash (SXP) – 0.2550
- Ahmed (VFW) – 0.2127
Voice for the West preferences flowed to the Democratic Labour Party, pushing Carling-Jenkins ahead of the LDP and Liberal Party:
- Hartland (GRN) – 0.7933
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6343
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.5299
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4189
- Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3359
- Nash (SXP) – 0.2571
Sex Party preferences pushed the Greens’ Colleen Hartland over quota as the fourth elected candidate. This left Hartland with a 0.03 surplus, which mostly flowed to Labor:
- Hartland (GRN) – 1.0000
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6585
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.5317
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4245
- Vinokurov (LDP) – 0.3419
LDP preferences favoured the DLP, pushing Carling-Jenkins ahead of Chiang:
- Hartland (GRN) – 1.0000
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 0.8561
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6641
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.4267
Liberal preferences elected Carling-Jenkins, leaving Labor out in the cold:
- Carling-Jenkins (DLP) – 1.2508
- Hartland (GRN) – 1.0000
- Chiang (ALP) – 0.6670
- Elsbury (LIB) – 0.0040
- A – Catherine Cumming (Derryn Hinch’s Justice)
- B – Terri Beech (Animal Justice)
- C – Hayley Webb (Hudson for Northern Victoria)
- D – Francine Cohen (Australian Liberty Alliance)
- E – Jorge Jorquera (Socialists)
- F – Stuart O’Neill (Aussie Battler)
- G – Liberal
- Bernie Finn
- Dinesh Gourisetty
- Moira Deeming
- H – Benito Caruso (Country Party)
- I – Adam Karlovsky (Liberal Democrats)
- J – Chris Botha (Reason)
- K – Allan Doensen (Sustainable Australia)
- L – Wayne Rigg (Shooters, Fishers & Farmers)
- M – Briony Jenkinson (Health Australia)
- N – Joan Beckwith (Voluntary Euthanasia)
- O – Daniel Lowinger (Transport Matters)
- P – Walter Villagonzalo (Democratic Labour)
- Q – Huong Truong (Greens)
- R – Labor
- Cesar Melhem
- Ingrid Stitt
- Kaushaliya Vaghela
- Kathy Majdlik
- Diana Grima
The Greens have held a seat in this region since 2006, but it’s never been comfortable, and it will be a challenge to hold on. It will also be a challenge for Carling-Jenkins. Her new party doesn’t have much of a profile and didn’t perform well in the recent South Australian state election. She will depend on a strong flow of preferences which can be unreliable.
Labor would be hoping to win a third seat, but the Liberal Party would also be looking at a second seat.
Labor topped the primary vote in the Western Metropolitan region. Labor also topped the vote in all eleven districts within the region.
Labor did best in Kororoit and in surrounding seats, and did worst in the seats closest to the Melbourne city centre.
The Liberal Party did best in the northernmost seats, and did worst in the middle spine of the region.
The Greens vote was highest closest to the Melbourne city centre.
Results of the 2014 Victorian upper house election in the Western Metropolitan region