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Labor hold, nothing to see here.
Nor do i expect a a big swing here.
Against the grain of those previous comments I think Laverton will be an interesting seat to watch, a lot of residents here have voted differently since 2022.
This is the Greens second target within the Western Metro district (after Footscray of course) and partly sits within the federal seat of Fraser which after the 2025 election is a Greens target. In addition this is an underserviced area, of the few developments are controversial AI data centres which both the Greens and Victorian Socialists are centering campaigns against. The Greens candidate, Kororoit Creek Ward councilor Lucy Nguyen, looks like a strong choice and should be able to build on the infrastructure from Fraser 2025 and her own 2024 council race (33.7% primary).
Additionally what I did not realize until looking today is that in the western section of the seat (Williams Landing, Trunganina, Laverton North) within the federal seat of Gellibrand also swung heavily towards the Greens in 2025. Their booth results are mostly between 15-20% with 31.5% at Trunganina South.
Adding to all this is are the West Party and One Nation if the polls are to be trusted and Labor is draining voters, down to the 20% mark, their fragmentation could be the Greens’ (or West Party or even VicSocs) gain.