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This seat is vulnerable and appears to have the more Liberal friendly parts of whitehorse council and John Mullahy is fairly new. While the other neighbouring seats have gone under a lot of development most of this electorate is quite established and has changed quite a lot so if the Liberals have a good night I can see them pealing this off.
The only reason why Labor didn’t win this seat in 2018 was that Neil Angus was an well known incumbent but became Angus became anti-vax since covid which was why he lost that advantage in 2022.