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Liberal hold
From what I’ve heard, Bridget Vallence is quite popular here and from what I’ve seen does have a decent social media presence. I see her in no trouble whatsoever, especially considering the fact that the federal seat of Casey (which includes all of Evelyn) swung to the Liberals in a particularly bad election for them.
@ James
This seat is a bit like parts of Hughes (Shire part) or the Hawkesbury. It is full of Anglo Tradies and small farms. This seat is trending right longer term. This is one of the few parts of Melbourne where Dutton may have had some appeal.
@Nimalan – agreed. Not sure if you have the same opinion but I have seen on social media Aaron Violi is quite popular and got a decent sophomore surge to hit the general Labor swing in Victoria.
I do think Aaron Violi is popular, young and talented. However, i think Casey is not really a seat that Labor should target these days. They last won it in 1983 before expansion of parliament along with Flinders which these days is pretty much unwinnable. La Trobe on the other hand is a seat that Labor will target longer term especially given rapid ethnic diversification and urbanisation so while La Trobe and Casey are neighbouring their trejectories are different. Aston is a better seat for Labor as it is more urbanised closer to the city and has more ethnic diversity.