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It’s hard to be certain, but on federal results this could well be an ALP vs Greens 2CP, which is certainly surprising. Would not be surprised to see One Nation make the 2CP either, there’ll certainly be a grand battle to see who’ll get clobbered 70-30 by Labor.
Based on federal results, the Greens beat the Liberals at a number of polling booths on primary votes. However, the right-wing vote was quite split. Preference flows from One Nation, Family First and Trumpet of Patriots would’ve helped the Liberals.
At the state election, even if the Liberals primary vote falls, they might still finish second after preferences because the Greens and One Nation preference the Liberals ahead of each other.