Mirani – Queensland 2024

To view this content, you must be a member of this creator's Patreon at $5 or more
Unlock with Patreon
Already a qualifying Patreon member? Refresh to access this content.

7 COMMENTS

  1. Ah, Mirani. The seat made up of the leftovers of Queensland. The parts between Mackay and Rockhampton that even Mackay and Rockhampton didn’t want.

    I jest, but this is a funny old seat, and maybe a candidate for a major re-draw in future redistributions, with the Livingstone council being fully reunited into an expanded Keppel, and a new seat of Sarina going inland to pick up the mining parts of Burdekin.

    Until then, unless the LNP can nudge in front of the ALP on first preferences, I suppose they will keep handing this seat to the One Notion Party.

  2. @ NQ View Interestingly enough IIRC last election the One Nation primary vote declined and the LNP vote rose. I’m sure that’s to do with the ONP’s large drop in support statewide, but I live in this electorate and I can’t really gauge support for the current MP. Nobody seems particularly enthusiastic for him, but I don’t live in the northern half around Sarina and my booths still vote Labor quite strongly so I could easily be wrong.

    Absolutely right about the redistribution as well, I hope they find an acceptable solution to it next time around. My community fits much better into Keppel than it does Mirani.

  3. Rockhampton region grazier and rural fire service volunteer Glen Kelly has been preselected as the LNP’s candidate in Mirani. If the LNP get a big spike to there primary vote here, its possible they could win this seat on Labor preferences. It still hard to dislodge a minor party MP though, the LNP haven’t been able to dislodge KAP state MP’s. So there is every reason, they won’t be able to dislodge a One Nation incumbent with Stephen Andrew as well. But judging Andrew ‘s primary last state election of 31.7%, he does look vulnerable on paper if the LNP overtake Labor in second place and he isn’t able to lift it.

  4. @Political Nightwatchman there’s a big difference between unseating a Katter and unseating One Nation. In short: the former hasn’t been done before unless the member defected while the latter has happened many times (remember One Nation used to have 11 state seats in Queensland back in 1998). Mirani is vulnerable because Stephen Andrew isn’t finishing first, Labor is, and he’s relying on LNP preferences to win. If the Labor vote falls and the LNP vote rises (i.e if the LNP finish first or come somewhat close in second place), then the LNP could gain it.

    Interestingly Stephen Andrew is the first ever South Sea Islander to be elected to any parliament. He became a Vanuatuan tribal chieftain following traditional ceremonies held on Ambae Island in July 2019. His chiefly name is Moli Duru Ambae. Ambae is the name of the island but I’m not sure where Moli and Duru come from, perhaps they’re local names (I’ve been to Vanuatu but I haven’t been to Ambae Island yet), but Duru sounds very similar to Andrew minus the first two letters.

  5. Agree Nether Portal. I don’t think Labor will want to be seen preferencing One Nation, their vote has much further to fall, and they’ll be in sandbagging mode and unlikely to seek to win a new seat. So a good chance of +1 to the blue column.

    He’s been relatively uncontroversial for a One Nation MP. Perhaps Andrew will run as an independent and swap preferences with Labor. Not sure that will be enough to save him and whether he’d still get Labor preferences in that event.

  6. I think the direction of this seat could rely on the LNP’s position on the Eungella Pumped Hydro Project. It seems like the community’s very vocal in opposition to it. Stephen Andrew is working with community organisations to voice that opposition. I’m not sure if the LNP have an official position on the project yet, but supporting it would cost them votes in booths around Walkerston/Mirani/Finch Hatton.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here