ACT redistribution – submissions open
The redistribution of ACT Legislative Assembly boundaries for the 2020 election has now commenced, with submissions opening last Monday and open until Monday 4 March.
The electoral map was radically drawn prior to the 2016 election, with the Assembly expanding from 17 to 25 seats,...
Two by-elections in South Australia
There will be two by-elections for the safe Labor seats of Cheltenham and Enfield on February 9.
I have prepared guides for both of these seats which are now open for your comments.
I don't expect any surprise result in either seat. The Liberal Party is...
NSW election – final seat guide and candidate list
The state election in New South Wales is just over two months away, and my complete guide to the election is now published here.
The guide includes profiles of all 93 seats, as well as a guide to the Legislative Council election.
I can now also...
Oakeshott is back in Cowper
Former independent MP Rob Oakeshott announced yesterday that he will be running for the federal seat of Cowper at this year's election.
In this post I will run through some of the dynamics of that electorate which will be critical to that contest.
I'll be using...
Victoria 2018 – minor party votes mapped
This is my last post for 2018, one final set of Victorian election maps. I'll be back in the new year with more coverage of the New South Wales and federal elections.
Today I'm looking at the distribution of the vote for two of the...
Victoria 2018 – mapping the below the line vote
There was a concerted effort before the recent Victorian state election from psephologists and other commentators to encourage voters to vote below-the-line.
I posted on the day after the election about the early figures, including the breakdown of below-the-line rates for each party. I won't...
Victoria 2018 – two-party-preferred, mapped
In today's edition, I'm updating a map I produced on request to include the two-party-preferred vote (and swing) in 87 out of 88 seats.
The VEC published two-party-preferred figures in seats where the two-candidate-preferred was not between Labor and Coalition (this electorate-level data is available...
Victoria 2018 – Greens vote, mapped
Today's maps focus on the performance of the Greens, who went backwards in terms of votes, yet managed to win a record number of lower house seats at a general election.
This first map shows the primary vote swing for the Greens in the 88...