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I suspect the Greens will increase their Primary vote in this electorate in 2028.
@SpaceFish, it depends on whether left-wing parties like AJP and WA Socialists run. They could split the left-wing vote. Labor’s vote might retreat after overperforming and getting swings two elections in a row.
Swan is one seat that Labor gained in 2022 but now has a double-digit 2PP margin. The others are Hasluck, Boothby and Reid.
While the Greens vote may increase. I do accept Votante contention that Labor vote might retreat after overperfoming two elections in a row. I dont think the Greens will make the 2CP in this seat there is a decent Liberal base here nor do i think it is possible for Labor to be knocked out of the 2CP. The mistake Greens made in 2025 was to target too many seats including Sturt, Perth and Moreton. They did not sandbag effectively and nearly lost Ryan as well to Labor. Greens 2 most winnable seats now are Wills and Richmond and they need to sandbag Ryan as well.