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Solomon covering the smallest major/capital city Darwin often swings its own way against the national environment.
The big swing against Labor at the recent election was most likely due to the unpopularity of the previous Fyles/Lawler Territory government. Whilst the CLP/Coalition is favoured to recover the seat in 2028, it will depend on how well the new CLP Territory government performs over the next few years. So far, the Territory CLP are avoiding any major controversies unlike the government under Adam Giles 2012-16.
Interetsing to see a geographic divide here where Labor did well in Darwin Council won all but 1 booth but CLP won all booths in Palmerston
Nimalan, that trend/pattern also emerges for Territory elections. Palmerston is usually conservative leaning, and Labor only wins Territory seats in this area at landslide elections (2005 under Clare Martin and 2016 under Michael Gunner).
Good point Yoh An
Is Palmerston just more like a Satellite city while Darwin is better educated and progressive>
I don’t know much about Darwin’s structure, but you are correct in that Palmerston is considered a satellite city of Darwin. It appears to be majority white, and most residents are not tertiary educated so it would behave much like some other ethnically white, outer suburban seats such as Cook, Flinders and Casey being Liberal/conservative leaning.
@Nimalan Palmerston has a big military vote. It’s not as affluent as teal seats but is socially conservative. A seat like Herbert might be the equivalent to Palmerston.
Canning especially around Mandurah is a good comparison.
@ Dan M
Thanks the millitary vote is quite right wing and often supports a Hawkish foreign policy which is probably while Hastie is popular in Canning. Look at census results Palmerston has a slightly higher Indigenous % 12% compared to 8% in Darwin. However, a much lower CALD population in Palmertson compared to Darwin.