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Greens were so close for overtaking the Liberals in the Primary vote which is staggering given how close this seat has been in the past.
I think there is a slow drift to the Left here. This one seat the Libs list in 1983 and never won back. Adjusted to 2022 boundaries it was a seat that voted more for the Voice than the Republic. I think densification is making this seat more socially progressive. There are pockets of Liberal strength (Dianella-previously in Stirling), West Perth and East Perth. On these boundaries, Libs would have won in 2013 but that maybe misleading as Stirling was a seat that Labor would have run dead in 2013 so no sandbagging in Dianella and there would have been increased density since then. Unless Libs get 62% of the statewide result i cant see them winning Perth even if it is just for one term.