LIB 0.1%
Incumbent MP
Wendy Lindsay, since 2019.
Geography
Southwestern Sydney. East Hills covers south-western parts of the City of Canterbury-Bankstown, areas on the north and east shore of the Georges River. The seat covers the suburbs of Panania, Revesby, Padstow, Milperra, Condell Park and parts of Bass Hill and Yagoona.
Redistribution
East Hills expanded slightly on the northern edge, taking in more of Bass Hill and Yagoona from Bankstown. This change reduced the Liberal margin from 0.5% to 0.1%.
History
The electoral district of East Hills was first created at the 1953 election. The seat was held by Labor continuously from 1953 to 2011, with only four people holding the seat during this period.
The seat was first won in 1953 by Arthur Williams. He had been a member of the Legislative Assembly since 1940, first holding the marginal seat of Ryde until 1941, then holding the seat of Georges River from 1941 to 1953. He held East Hills until his retirement in 1956.
Joe Kelly won East Hills for the ALP in 1956. He held the seat until 1973. He was succeeded by Pat Rogan, who held the seat until 1999.
Alan Ashton won East Hills in 1999, and was re-elected in 2003 and 2007.
In 2011, Ashton was narrowly defeated by Liberal candidate Glenn Brookes.
There was a large swing to Labor in New South Wales in 2015, but Brookes gained a tiny swing to hold on despite his slim margin.
Brookes resigned from the Liberal Party in 2016 after his campaign manager was charged with electoral offences, but rejoined the party in 2017.
Brookes retired in 2019, and Liberal candidate Wendy Lindsay narrowly retained the seat.
Assessment
East Hills is a very marginal seat, but this was also the case at the 2015 and 2019 elections, yet the seat barely moved. Lindsay should benefit from incumbency, but this remains a crucial seat for Labor to win.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Wendy Lindsay | Liberal | 19,963 | 41.9 | -2.3 | 41.6 |
| Cameron Murphy | Labor | 19,152 | 40.2 | -1.8 | 40.7 |
| Suzan Virago | Greens | 2,298 | 4.8 | -1.8 | 4.9 |
| Owen Butt | Christian Democrats | 2,159 | 4.5 | -0.3 | 4.3 |
| Lisa Maddock | Keep Sydney Open | 1,773 | 3.7 | +3.7 | 3.5 |
| Chris Brogan | Independent | 1,346 | 2.8 | +2.8 | 2.7 |
| Heather Barnes | Animal Justice | 932 | 2.0 | +2.0 | 1.9 |
| Others | 0.4 | ||||
| Informal | 2,292 | 4.6 |
2019 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Wendy Lindsay | Liberal | 21,646 | 50.5 | +0.1 | 50.1 |
| Cameron Murphy | Labor | 21,217 | 49.5 | -0.1 | 49.9 |
Booths in East Hills have been split into three parts: north, south-east and south-west.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in southern parts of the seat, with 51.7% in the south-east and 55.3% in the south-west.
Labor won 55.8% of the two-party-preferred vote in the north.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-East | 51.7 | 13,628 | 27.2 |
| South-West | 55.3 | 9,211 | 18.4 |
| North | 44.2 | 8,350 | 16.7 |
| Pre-poll | 48.6 | 11,069 | 22.1 |
| Other votes | 49.4 | 7,824 | 15.6 |
Election results in East Hills at the 2019 NSW state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor.
I thought Coleman lived in Cronulla anyway