Burt – Australia 2022

ALP 5.5%

Incumbent MP
Matt Keogh, since 2016.

Geography
South of Perth. Burt covers parts of Armadale and Gosnells council areas, including the suburbs of Armadale, Beckenhma, Gosnells, Huntingdale, Kelmscott, Kenwick, Orange Grove, Thornlie and Westfield.

Redistribution
Burt gained Beckenham and Kenwick from Hasluck and Orange Grove from Canning, and lost Canning Vale to Tangney. These changes increased the Labor margin from 5.0% to 5.5%.

History
Burt was first created in 2016, primarily out of parts of Canning. That seat had been a marginal seat, leaning towards the Liberal Party.

Labor’s Matt Keogh lost the 2015 Canning by-election to Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie. He then went on to win Burt at the 2016 election. Keogh was re-elected in 2019.

Candidates

  • Michele Castle (Federation)
  • Travis Carter (One Nation)
  • Joshua McCurry (United Australia)
  • Daniel Garlett (Greens)
  • Stephen Phelan (Western Australia Party)
  • David Goode (Liberal)
  • Warnar Spyker (Australian Christians)
  • Matt Keogh (Labor)
  • Assessment
    Burt is a marginal seat but it’s unlikely there’ll be a further swing to the Liberal Party at the next election.

    2019 result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Matt Keogh Labor 36,058 41.0 -6.1 41.1
    David Goode Liberal 29,420 33.4 -2.0 32.4
    Simone Collins Greens 8,285 9.4 +1.4 9.6
    Nicole Devincentis One Nation 5,116 5.8 +5.8 6.1
    Warnar Spyker Australian Christians 3,298 3.7 -1.4 3.7
    Peter Joseph Raffaelli Shooters, Fishers and Farmers 1,942 2.2 -2.2 2.5
    Sahil Chawla United Australia Party 1,871 2.1 +2.1 2.2
    Sarcha Sagisaka Western Australia Party 901 1.0 +1.0 1.2
    Naomi Nation Independent 1,149 1.3 +1.3 1.2
    Others 0.0
    Informal 6,042 6.4 +2.0

    2019 two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Matt Keogh Labor 48,414 55.0 -2.1 55.5
    David Goode Liberal 39,626 45.0 +2.1 44.5

    Booth breakdown

    Booths have been divided into three parts: north, south-east and south-west.

    Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51.6% in the south-west to 60.7% in the south-east.

    Voter group GRN prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
    North 9.9 58.9 26,221 31.1
    South-East 9.7 60.7 15,499 18.4
    South-West 9.1 51.6 10,481 12.4
    Pre-poll 8.0 53.0 17,416 20.7
    Other votes 11.1 50.0 14,705 17.4

    Election results in Burt at the 2019 federal election
    Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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