Perth – Australia 2013

ALP 5.9%

Incumbent MP
Stephen Smith, since 1993.

Geography
Central and northeastern Perth. The seat covers the Perth CBD, which is in the southwestern corner of the seat. Perth runs along the northern shore of the Swan river, to the east of the Perth CBD. Other suburbs include Maylands, Mount Lawley, Bayswater, Ashfield, Bedford, Morley and Beechboro.

History
Perth is an original federation seat. It was dominated by conservative parties until the 1940s, and became a marginal seat until the early 1980s. It has been held by the ALP ever since 1983, and has been relatively safe for most of the time since the 1980s.

Perth was first won in 1901 by the ALP’s James Fowler. Fowler was a fierce opponent of Billy Hughes within the party, and he switched to the new Liberal Party in 1909. He joined the new Nationalist Party in 1916, but his conflict with Hughes made this difficult. He lost Nationalist endorsement before the 1922 election, and lost Perth.

Nationalist candidate Edward Mann won Perth in 1922. He was re-elected in 1925 and 1928, but in 1929 was one of a number of Nationalist MPs led by Billy Hughes to rebel against the Bruce government and lead to the government’s downfall. Mann lost Perth as an independent in 1929.

Perth was won in 1929 by Nationalist candidate Walter Nairn. Nairn became a United Australia Party member in 1931, and held the seat for the next decade. He served as Speaker from 1940 to 1943, and retired at the 1943 election.

The ALP’s Tom Burke won Perth in 1943. He held the seat for the next twelve years, until 1955, when he lost Perth to the Liberal Party’s Fred Chaney. Burke was expelled from the ALP in 1957, although he later rejoined the party. His sons Terry Burke and Brian Burke were both later elected to the Western Australian state parliament, and Brian went on to become Premier.

Chaney held Perth for the next fourteen years. He served in Robert Menzies’ ministry from 1964 to 1966, but was dropped from the frontbench when Harold Holt became Prime Minister in 1966. He lost Perth in 1969. He went on to serve as Administrator of the Northern Territory and Lord Mayor of Perth.

Perth was won in 1969 by the ALP’s Joe Berinson. He was re-elected in 1972 and 1974, and in July 1975 was appointed Minister for the Environment in the Whitlam government. He lost his seat at the 1975 election. He went on to serve in the Western Australian state parliament and as a minister in a number of state Labor governments.

The Liberal Party’s Ross McLean won Perth in 1975, and held the seat as a backbencher for the entirety of the Fraser government, losing the seat in 1983.

Perth was won in 1983 by the ALP’s Ric Charlesworth. Charlesworth had been caption of the Australian men’s field hockey team, and represented Australia at five Olympics in the 1970s and 1980s. He captained the team at two Olympics while he held the seat of Perth. Charlesworth also played Sheffield Shield cricket for Western Australia in the 1970s.

Charlesworth held Perth for ten years, retiring in 1993 at the age of 41. He was replaced by Stephen Smith, former Keating advisor and State Secretary of the ALP in WA.

Smith was promoted to the Labor frontbench after the 1996 election, and served as a shadow minister in a variety of portfolios until 2007. Smith served as Foreign Minister in the first term of the current Labor government, and as Defence Minister since the 2010 election.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Stephen Smith is not running for re-election.

Assessment
Perth has traditionally been a solid Labor seat, but in current circumstances no seat is safe for Labor in Western Australia.

2010 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Stephen Smith ALP 32,228 40.19 -6.12
Joe Ferrante LIB 31,064 38.74 +1.84
Jonathan Hallett GRN 12,948 16.15 +5.82
Paul Connelly CDP 2,093 2.61 +0.62
Nigel Irvine FF 1,243 1.55 +0.45
Alex Bainbridge SA 618 0.77 +0.22

2010 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Stephen Smith ALP 44,815 55.88 -2.06
Joe Ferrante LIB 35,379 44.12 +2.06
Polling places in Perth at the 2010 federal election. Bayswater in blue, East in red, Stirlign in green, South-West in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Perth at the 2010 federal election. Bayswater in blue, East in red, Stirlign in green, South-West in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into four areas. Polling places in Bayswater and Stirling council areas have been grouped together. Polling places in Bassendean and Swan councils have been merged as “East” and polling places in Perth and Vincent councils have been merged as “South-West”.

Bayswater is substantially larger, with 30% of votes cast in 2010, compared to 11.7% in South-West.

The ALP won a majority in all four areas, varying from 53.1% in Stirling to 62.4% in the east. The Greens vote varied from 20.8% in the south-west to 14% in Bayswater.

Voter group GRN % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Bayswater 14.09 54.85 24,355 30.37
East 14.78 62.36 15,425 19.23
Stirling 15.80 53.14 14,239 17.76
South-West 20.80 57.30 9,347 11.66
Other votes 18.08 52.98 16,828 20.98
Two-party-preferred votes in Perth at the 2010 federal election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Perth at the 2010 federal election.
Greens primary votes in Perth at the 2010 federal election.
Greens primary votes in Perth at the 2010 federal election.

101 COMMENTS

  1. MacTiernan has a brilliant record, but that doesn’t make her a future leader. She quit state parliament because she wasn’t considered for state leadership, they’re hardly going to hand her the federal keys now.

    Alannah will go straight into shadow cabinet and no doubt kick some Tory ass.

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