NSW council elections – election night results thread

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1:03 – Okay I’m going to have to leave this here. I’ll come back in the morning and finish the run of the board and then look at blog posts summarising the results more generally.

1:02 – Lake Macquarie mayor Kay Fraser has been re-elected decisively with over 50% of the primary vote for the mayoral election, while the party has gained one more seat on council, giving them a council majority.

The Labor vote for mayor has gone down slightly with the return of the Greens.

The Greens polled about 10%, but it wasn’t enough to come close to win any seats.

Most seats on the council had a status quo result. The Liberal Party and the right-wing Lake Mac Independents retained a seat each in all three wards. Labor retained its five council seats, but also gained a second seat in the West ward where former mayor Wendy Harrison retired.

12:56 – Ku-ring-gai council has been deeply divided between two factions of five councillors each.

While neither faction will emerge intact from the election, the faction of current mayor Cedric Spencer has done quite well. Two of his four councillors have been re-elected, one possibly bringing a second member with him. Two (including Spencer) are in close races, with only one decisively beaten.

Jennifer Anderson’s faction hasn’t done so well. Two councillors retired, with a third running as second on a new candidate’s ticket. That new candidate has a chance of winning, but former mayor Anderson was decisively beaten. Only Martin Smith did well, with a chance of bringing along his running mate.

  • Comenarra – Jeff Pettett re-elected, alongside Greg Taylor.
  • Gordon – Barbara Ward elected, with Simon Lennon and Greg Cook in a close race for the second seat. Sitting councillor Peter Kelly has been easily defeated.
  • Roseville – Sam Ngai re-elected, with Alec Taylor leading for the second spot ahead of Ngai’s running mate Amanda Blackman. Sitting councillor Jennifer Anderson is in fourth position and unlikely to be re-elected.
  • St Ives – Martin Smith re-elected. Sitting councillor Christine Kay is narrowly ahead of Smith’s running mate Anna-Lisa Ryan.
  • Wahroonga – Kim Wheatley elected, with current mayor Cedric Spencer leading for the second spot ahead of Sarah Beresford. Councillor Donna Greenfield won’t be re-elected from her position as Beresford’s running mate.

12:43 – Inner West. The two local major parties, Labor and the Greens, have both gained votes and potentially seats. A single seat is likely key to who will lead the council.

In Ashfield, sitting Liberal Julie Passas has been easily beaten, with second candidates for Labor and the Greens tied for the final seat which may well decide the direction of council. If the Greens gain this seat it will give them a working majority with their allies.

In Leichhardt, sitting Liberal Vittoria Raciti is leading but the second Labor and Greens candidates aren’t far behind. I think there’s a good chance Labor will take her seat, giving them six councillors. It will solidify their position but doesn’t change the balance of the council.

12:37 – In Hornsby, Liberal mayor Phillip Ruddock has been re-elected with 56.9% against his sole Greens opponent, but this is a bit of a weaker result compared to 2017, when he polled 47.8% primary in a five-horse race.

The Greens have also done well on council, looking likely to win three seats, up one from their previous haul. The Liberal Party has won at least five. The only seat that is seriously in play is the final seat in Ward B, where sitting Labor councillor Janelle McIntosh is tied with the second Liberal for the final seat.

In net terms, this is an increase of 1-2 seats for the Liberal Party, with an increase of one seat for the Greens, a loss of the sole independent seat, and a loss of 1-2 seats for Labor.

12:33 – Georges River. The current council includes six Labor councillors, five Liberals and four others, but the Georges River Residents and Ratepayers Party (GRRRP) has stormed in with 22% of the vote, and likely four councillors.

In four out of five wards, the three parties have split the seats evenly, although the GRRRP candidate isn’t totally safe in Kogarah Bay. In Hurstville, GRRRP have done much more poorly, and that third seat is a contest between two independents.

12:23 – Fairfield. Independent mayor Frank Carbone, who left the ALP to run in 2016, has been re-elected in a landslide. He won in 2016 with 29%, coming second out of six candidates on primary votes, and managing 50.15% after preferences. This time there are only two candidates (Carbone and Labor’s George Barcha), and Carbone has managed 74.15% so far, a 24% swing compared to 2016’s two-candidate-preferred count.

Fairfield Council has been restructured from three wards of four, to two wards of six. The Liberal Party has also withdrawn.

In Fairfield/Cabravale ward, Carbone’s ally Charbel Saliba has won two seats, as has Carbone’s other ally Dai Le. This leaves Labor with just two seats.

In Parks ward, Carbone has won four seats. Labor has also won one. It looks likely that the last seat will go to Andrew Rohan, another Carbone ally running on Dai Le’s ticket, although I wouldn’t rule out Labor.

That’s a total of 9-10 seats for the Carbone-Le team, and just 3-4 for Labor. A total wipe-out.

12:11 – Cumberland has two close races. Labor has won seven seats. On the other side of the chamber, the three Our Local Community councillors have been re-elected, along with two independent Liberals and ex-Labor councillor Greg Cummings. That leaves two more seats in play. In both cases, OLC candidates are leading a Labor candidate: the third Labor candidate in Regents Park, and the second in Wentworthville.

If Labor can win either of these seats they’ll gain a majority. If not, a conservative majority led by five OLC councillors will probably run the council.

12:02 – Canterbury-Bankstown. The most populous council in NSW. Labor won nine out of fifteen seats in 2017.

In three wards, Labor has retained their two seats and the Liberal Party one. But there are two seats in play.

In Canterbury ward, Labor only holds one seat, along with the Liberal Party and the Greens. Ex-Labor independent Barbara Coorey is currently leading the Liberal Party and the Greens, leaving the Greens vulnerable to losing.

In Revesby ward, Labor is far from assured of holding their second seat. Labor and Liberal have each won a seat. Our Local Community’s Allan Winterbottom is slightly ahead of the second Labor and Liberal candidates for the final seat. It’d be interesting to know how preferences are recommended in this ward. Another independent is sitting on just over a quarter of a quota.

11:42 – As discussed earlier, twelve seats have been decided on full quotas: seven Labor, four Liberals, one Community First, with four groups competing for the final 3 seats:

  • Animal Justice – 0.85
  • Greens – 0.79
  • Totally Locally Committed – 0.79
  • Masud Khalil – 0.77

11:38 – Camden Council has seen a consolidation of the major parties, with the Liberal Party still out in front. It looks like only one seat will change hands, with a retiring independent being replaced by a new independent. Central ward independent Robert Mills retired, and another independent Peter McLean is on 0.85 quotas. The other eight seats are currently going to candidates on full quotas. Labor and Liberal have each won one seat in each ward, with the Liberal Party winning a second in the North and independent councillor Eva Campbell retaining her seat in the South.

11:35 – Coming back to Blacktown. Labor currently holds two seats in each of the five wards, and they’ve retained those ten seats. The other five seats have gone to independents, three of whom have current links to the Liberal Party:

  • Ward 1 – independent Liberal Jess Diaz, who currently holds the seat
  • Ward 2 – Michael Stubley, an independent Liberal allied with Kevin Conolly.
  • Ward 3 – former independent councillor Allan Green
  • Ward 4 – independent Liberal Peter Camilleri, who has moved from Ward 5.
  • Ward 5 – independent candidate Livingston Chettipally

11:30 – Bayside. The Liberal Party has withdrawn here, with Labor in with a chance to win a majority. Labor has retained six seats, with four independents elected, two of whom were Liberal Party members on the previous council. Labor has a chance of a third seat in Ward 1 and second seats in Wards 2, 3 and 4. The Greens are competitive with Labor for two of those seats, with independents competing with them in other wards. There is also one other contest between two independents.

  • Ward 1 – Labor has won two and possibly three seats. The final seat is a race between Labor, Jennifer Muscat and John Heffernan.
  • Ward 2 – Labor currently holds two seats. They’ve retained one, with independent Liberal Michael Nagi retaining his seat. Labor’s second candidate and the Greens are basically tied on 0.81 quotas each.
  • Ward 3 – Labor has retained their seat, with independent Andrew Tsounis retaining his seat. The Greens’ Greta Werner is leading for the last seat, with the second Labor candidate and independent Connie Gerakis not out of the race.
  • Ward 4 – Independent councillor Liz Barlow and Labor have each retained their one seat. Currently Barlow’s running mate Mark Hanna is leading Labor’s second candidate for the final seat.
  • Ward 5 – Labor has retained their seat, with independent Liberal Paul Sedrak, who currently represents Ward 1, has replaced the current Liberal seat. The final seat is a race between incumbent independent James Macdonald and new independent Heidi Douglas, with Macdonald leading.

10:41 – I had meant to plug Triple H FM‘s coverage of the election results, focused on the upper north shore of Sydney, earlier tonight, but didn’t get that far, so apologies, but check them out if you’re interested in that area.

10:30 – I’m taking a short break but I will return to cover all of the major councils before the night is over.

9:43 – In Campbelltown, Labor has lost its eighth seat and thus its majority. The Liberal Party is on track for four seats, up one from 2016. Community First has retained their seat, leaving three others. The tickets in the race for those seats are:

  • Animal Justice Party – 0.86 quotas
  • Totally Locally Committed – 0.76
  • Masud Khalil – 0.76
  • Greens – 0.74

9:15 – Cumberland, where Labor won eight seats in 2017 but lost two seats to defections to shore up right-wing majorities.

The Our Local Community party, who currently have three seats, look set to benefit from the withdrawal of the Liberal Party.

On the current count it looks like Labor will hold eight, alongside 4 OLC members and 3 independents, including one who was a Liberal councillor on the last council.

– Granville – Labor won 2 seats here in 2017 but Steve Christou left the party and is now an OLC member. At the moment it looks like Labor will win one seat with Christou and an independent each winning.
– Greystanes – OLC councillor Eddy Sarkis is topping the poll. Labor will retain one seat, while former Labor councillor Greg Cummings will also win.
– Regents Park – Labor will retain their two seats easily, with OLC gaining the Liberal seat.
– South Granville – Labor has gained a second seat at the expense of the Liberal Party, with OLC’s Paul Garrard holding his seat.
– Wentworthville – Labor has retained their two seats, with incumbent Liberal councillor Michael Zaiter on track for re-election as an independent.

9:02 – In Parramatta, where the Liberal Party withdrew, it looks like the left has probably gained a majority.

At the moment Labor is on track for two seats in Epping (replacing a Liberal), and independent Kellie Darley in Dundas (replacing a Liberal). In Rosehill ward, it looks like the sitting conservative independent is struggling in a race against the Greens and Labor. The Our Local Community party also looks like they will replace Liberals in North Rocks, Rosehill and Parramatta in addition to their seat, with two other conservative independents also winning.

8:37 – Inner West, where the Liberal Party is withdrawing. The Greens vote is up substantially.

On the current numbers, most seats would stay the same but the independent Liberal in Leichhardt is in danger of losing to Labor, and the Greens are in prime position to replace the Liberal in Ashfield.

  • Ashfield – the Greens are on 1.8 quotas, Labor is on 1.43 quotas, while neither of the independent contenders is on more than 0.32 quotas.
  • Balmain – Greens and Labor both just under 1.5 quotas, with independent John Stamolis on 0.56. Seems likely Stamolis will hold but could go to the other two parties.
  • Leichhardt – Labor on 1.6 quotas, Greens on 1.4 quotas, the sitting Liberal on 0.6 quotas. Labor in a good position to replace the Liberal.
  • Marrickville – Greens on 1.6 quotas, Labor on 1.5 quotas, and independent Macri on 0.8 quotas.
  • Stanmore – Greens on 1.6 quotas, Labor on 1.2 quotas, independent Lockie on 0.9

8:21 – Clover Moore’s primary vote has dropped significantly for the lord mayoralty of the City of Sydney. Moore polled 58% in 2016, but is now down to 42.5%. Yvonne Weldon, who is leading the group founded by Moore defector Kerryn Phelps, is on 16.3%, just behind Labor on 16.9%. It seems plausible that most of the swing away from Moore has gone to Weldon, but Labor and the Greens have also gained swings and the Liberals are down.

8:14 – We’re early in the count for the Liverpool mayoralty but Labor is currently on track to lose to the Liberal Party’s Ned Mannoun, who stepped down in 2016. Mannoun is on 45.6%, with Nathan Hagarty, the new Labor candidate, on 33.6%.

8:10 – Blacktown, where Labor is defending two seats in all five wards, with the other five held by the Liberal Party is not contesting:

Ward 1 – over 3000 votes, but at the moment Labor is on track to lose their second seat to independent Mohit Kumar (affiliated to Lib MP Kevin Conolly), with sitting Liberal on track to retain his seat as an independent.
Ward 2 – Labor is short of two quotas but is leading for the final seat.
Ward 3 – With over 3000 votes, Labor is on track to hold their two seats with former councillor Allan Green to win the third seat.
Ward 4 – Labor on over 2 quotas but less than 1000 votes.
Ward 5 – Labor over two quotas with independent Chettipally leading for the final seat.

8:06 – I’ve noticed some early signs of a very high informal rate, which could be due to the inability to hand out how-to-vote cards.

7:45 – Okay I’m not going to try and cover the whole state so I’m going to wait a bit longer before trying to report results by councils one by one.

6:00 – Polls have just closed in the New South Wales council elections. I will be covering the highlights of the results tonight. Hopefully by the end of the night we have a rough sense of the trends in the bigger councils.

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19 COMMENTS

  1. Ruddock’s retained the Mayoralty in Hornsby. Consistent 40% GRN 60% LIB in all the small-medium booths reporting. Including booths in Cherrybrook – Heyde heartland.

  2. The informal rate is somewhat related to how the counting is undertaken. In counting we were encouraged to not spend time trying to understand intent of the vote and defer it to later (not on the night) processing. If there was a mark above and below, even if it looked like a fine vote, it was classed as ‘Other’.

  3. Mayoral election in Shellharbour not panning out the way Labor would have thought at this stage. Kiama seems to have swung to greens and left in general. Wollongong mayoralty will be close.

  4. The ABC is updating figures regularly in front of the NSW SEO. Not sure what is happening at the SEO. Trouble is the ABC doesn’t provide booth figures and the SEO does.

  5. Had a squiz at some Greens-heavy councils. Mixed-to-postive results, some solid gains in Sydney especially, but they’re getting absolutely obliterated in Byron. Tried googling for some recent coverage but all I found was one paywalled article in the daily telegraph. Anyone know what’s going on there?

  6. Cannot access nsw electoral commission sites results.seems unusually high informal votes in some parts of cantetbury bankstown and Cumberland councils seems polling officials have counted incorrectly.
    .

  7. I don’t know whether you could read too much into local election results but there are nonetheless positives for all major parties. I think the Libs will be happy with their gains in places Liverpool, Fairfield, Camden and elsewhere.

    However, I am very surprised that they seem to be on track to retake the majority in the Shire. The overdevelopment issue is poison here yet Labor seemed not to have taken advantage of it.

  8. Wreathy…Barry Collier a former alp state mp seems not to be standing this time…maybe this explains a swung to the libs on the council

  9. Ben,
    Barbara Coorey is not ‘ex-Labor’. Barbara was elected to Canterbury Council in the 1990s as an independent opposed to State Liberal Government plans to close Canterbury Hospital.

    Allan Winterbottom is ex-Labor. He was previously a Labor alderman in West Ward of Bankstown Council,

  10. Labor underperformed heavily in Canada Bay but did well in Burwood and Strathfield.
    Libs did not run in Strathfield and no Liberal incumbent ran in Burwood.
    Implications for the Federal Seat of Reid will be telling.
    Potential anti-Liberal vote could run out of gas come the Federal election, releasing some of the anger at Local Government.
    John Faker re-elected handily as Burwood Mayor, is the front runner to be Labor’s candidate for the Strathfield by-election.
    Whilst Labor’s Julia Little who was Candidate for Canada Bay Mayor is tipped to be Labor’s candidate for Drummoyne. Labor branches will now definitely fall under the control of Andrew Ferguson with the Soft Left faction now overtaking Centre Unity in the area.
    Mayor Angelo Tsirekas may run again for Drummoyne but will be dependent on funding and who Labor/Liberals nominate.

  11. What is interesting is the Albury Council election. 2 of the longer serving councillors – Thurley and Van de Ven look in trouble. Losing Thurley is not just an issue to the Council, but to the Murray – Darling Basin as he will lose his chairmanship of a number of committees. A great loss to the Murray – Darling. Also a guy who puts in 50 hours a week to Council work – what a loss.

  12. @Mick Quinlivan
    The unusually high informal votes in Canterbury Bankstown is a reflection of the way the community feels. The community is angry and Disgusted with the Labor dominated council, A Forced amalgamation with a 36 per cent rate increase and we now have areas that are actually falling apart in parts of Canterbury ward whilst the strong Labor seats in Bankstown are utilising all funds to secure their own futures and seats. People won’t vote for your party if no one actively is representing them. My Guess there may be a ICAC inquiry into the behaviour of the Council in the not too distant future.Taxation without representation is how Eureka started

  13. Another interesting outcome is Queanbeyan – Palerang Regional Council – it seems to have switched from right wing to left wing. I can count at least 5 left wing seats so a majority for the left. Interesting who the new Mayor will be.

    Also want impact will this have on the Monaro byelection and the Eden – Monaro federal election. I think this strengthens the opportunity for Labor

  14. Queanbeyan – Palerang Regional Council – The incumbent mayor is retiring so that’ll certainly cause the right wing vote to decrease.

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