10:25pm – I’m going to switch off now. I’ll be recording a podcast in the morning and will hope to get the episode up later in the day. I’m sure there’ll be further analysis next week, but that’s it for now.
10:05pm – Some recent results from north Queensland seats confirm that Labor looks set to hold all their seats in that region, and with that their majority. They are currently leading in a handful of LNP seats in the south-east which will likely give them an increased majority, even if they lose Cooper and McConnel.
9:10pm – So if we stopped the clock here and just took the election day vote, Labor would have won a slightly increased majority with the Greens also picking up a second seat. But in the next few hours we will be seeing a lot of postal and pre-poll votes, and that is what will tell us if this trend will continue.
8:06pm – There’s just not a lot to hold on to. At the moment the overall picture looks like Labor slightly increasing their majority, but there’s a lot of seats still in play, and the whole picture could be overturned when we get more of the pre-poll votes in.
7:39pm – It’s far too early to say anything definitive, but I think Labor is making more gains than they are losing.
7:26pm – We’re seeing some early evidence that Labor will be trading some northern seats for some southern LNP seats. Labor is currently leading in marginal LNP seats Pumicestone, Chatsworth, Caloundra and Coomera, all in the south-east, while the LNP is leading in Townsville and Barron River.
7:18pm – At the moment the only seat which the ABC has called as changing hands is Townsville, which was Labor’s most marginal seat. That should make Labor nervous about the neighbouring seats of Mundingburra and Thuringowa.
6:56pm – We are starting to get some early figures. Michael Berkman is looking good in Maiwar – he is up 11% on primary votes, with Labor down 10%. With no risk of falling behind Labor, he should win.
6:00pm – Polls have just closed in Queensland. Join me as I follow along with the results as they come in over the next few hours.