10:34pm – This is the end for this liveblog. I’m going to prepare a short post summarising the seats that have changed hands (and those that were expected to, but didn’t), as well as maps showing the new electoral map.
9:59pm – With Labor now out of contention in Ballina and Lismore, it’s safe to say that Labor has failed to gain any Nationals seats.
9:56pm – It seems pretty much certain now that the Greens have won Ballina. They are about 5% behind the Nationals, and 5% ahead of the ALP. They should close the gap in preferences. It seems a bit tighter in Lismore, but it seems likely that the Greens will win.
9:00pm – I’m leaving the studio now, will recommence around 9:30 from a new venue.
8:51pm – Labor’s Steve Whan has failed to win back his former seat of Monaro, with the Nationals gaining a swing of 0.6%. Whan had joined the Legislative Council after losing in 2011. Alongside Penny Sharpe in Newtown, both Labor MLCs who resigned their seats to contest other parties’ seats in the lower house have lost.
8:49pm – The Nationals have held on in Tamworth, gaining a further 2.8% swing over former independent MP Peter Draper.
8:32pm – Stuart Ayres has held on in Penrith. Independent candidate and former federal Liberal MP Jackie Kelly only won just over 8%.
8:26pm – Labor has also regained Campbelltown and notionally regained Macquarie Fields, but have fallen short in East Hills and Oatley, held by margins of 0.2% and 3.8%.
8:17pm – Union leader and independent candidate Arthur Rorris looks likely to come second in Wollongong, but with less than Gordon Bradbery polled in 2011, so Labor’s Noreen Hay looks like she’s been re-elected.
8:15pm – At this point, just to be clear, I am confident the Greens have held onto Newtown and Balmain, with increased margins.
8:08pm – It looks like Jodi McKay has won Strathfield off Charles Casuscelli.
8:05pm – Here are some seats Labor lost in 2011 that they haven’t won back: Coogee, Holsworthy, Mulgoa, Parramatta, Heathcote, Camden.
8:01pm – So far, Labor has gained Granville, Blue Mountains and Maitland. All these seats are held by margins of less than 6%.
7:57pm – As I just said on the radio, the Coalition has been re-elected to a second term. It also seems clear that the Greens have won Newtown.
7:45pm – Check out East Hills. The seat is the most marginal Liberal seat in NSW, yet there has been no swing against the Liberal Party on primary votes and only a small swing to Labor and the Greens.
7:39pm – It looks like Labor has regained Maitland and Blue Mountains.
7:20pm – You couldn’t rule out the Greens in Ballina either, with far too few votes counted in Balmain.
7:19pm – The Greens are leading by quite a large margin in Newtown, with seven small booths reporting.
7:18pm – The Greens and Labor are both up substantially in Lismore, with the Greens just ahead with over one third of booths reporting. It’s worth noting that the bigger booths will be in the town of Lismore, which should be better for Labor and less good for the Greens. Any of the three main parties could win the seat.
7:16pm – The ABC website has already projected the Coalition to win 48 seats, with Labor on 33 seats, but what those seats are isn’t clear.
7:15pm – So far there is a clear swing from the Coalition to Labor, with the Greens also on an increased vote.
6:47pm – So far we have very small numbers of votes that don’t tell us much about what will be happening.
6:45pm – Just a reminder, while I am doing my liveblog I’ll be providing live results on the Election Nerds on 2SER 107.3FM in Sydney from 7pm to 9pm. You can listen online here.
6:42pm – Okay, I’m now at my computer ready for the results to flow in.
While we wait for NSW results, there has been another interesting election today. The Northland by-election in New Zealand saw the formerly safe National seat swing strongly to New Zealand First, with the party’s leader Winston Peters winning over 50% of the vote. This result will mean that National will lose a seat, while Peters’ list seat will be filled by the party’s next candidate from the last election.
6:00pm – Polls have just closed for today’s election. Tonight I’ll be covering results live on air, and on this website, from 2SER’s studios in Sydney from 7pm to 9pm, but I will be with you all night online as we watch the results flow in.
Normally we would expect few if any results reported prior to 7pm, but the big unknown this year is the large increase in Ivotes. These electronic votes are cast online by voters with sight impediments, living overseas or living in remote locations, and they have been more popular than in the past.
They are being counted tonight, and we don’t know how long they will take to come in. The NSW Electoral Commission has said they will take 6-7 hours to count, but we don’t know if that means there will be a constant trickle or if they will all come in late in the night.