Forest Hill – Victoria 2018

LIB 4.8%

Incumbent MP
Neil Angus, since 2010.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Forest Hill covers the suburbs of Blackburn South, Burwood East, Forest Hill, Vermont and Vermont South, and parts of Glen Waverley. Forest Hill mainly covers southeastern parts of the City of Whitehorse, as well as a small area in the northeastern corner of the City of Monash.

History
Forest Hill was first created in 1976. It was won at the 1976 election by Liberal candidate John Richardson. He held the seat until 2002, serving as a shadow minister in the 1980s.

Richardson retired in 2002. A large swing to the ALP saw Olympic skier Kirstie Marshall win the seat at the 2002 election with a 5.8% margin. This was cut to 0.8% at the 2006 election.

In 2010, Marshall was defeated by Liberal candidate Neil Angus. Angus was re-elected in 2014.

Candidates

Assessment
Forest Hill is a marginal Liberal seat, but a large swing would be required for the seat to change hands.

2014 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Neil Angus Liberal 18,34049.7+0.9
Pauline Richards Labor 12,98435.2-3.0
Brewis Atkinson Greens 3,2898.9+1.1
Kane RogersAnimal Justice9992.7+2.7
Lynne MaddisonAustralian Christians5611.5+1.5
Wendy RossFamily First5081.4-0.6
Melissa TrotterCountry Alliance2110.6+0.6
Informal1,6464.3

2014 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Neil Angus Liberal 20,28654.8+1.3
Pauline Richards Labor 16,71745.2-1.3

Booth breakdown

Booths in Forest Hill have been divided into three areas: east, south and west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 51% in the west to 56.6% in the south.

Voter groupLIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
East54.29,03924.5
West51.09,04324.5
South56.64,60112.5
Other votes57.66,99419.0
Pre-poll57.47,21519.6

Two-party-preferred votes in Forest Hill at the 2014 Victorian state election

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.