Shayne Neumann, since 2007.
Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. The seat covers the urban area of Ipswich and rural areas to the west, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy.
Blair jumped the Brisbane river to take in Karana Downs from Ryan. This reduced the Labor margin in Blair from 8.9% to 8.1%.
Blair was created at the 1998 election, one of a number of seats created in Queensland over the last few decades. The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won.
Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences.
Thompson held Blair at the 2001 and 2004 elections, but lost in 2007 to Labor candidate Shayne Neumann. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest, although it gained areas to the southwest which have since been shedded.
Neumann has been re-elected three times.
Blair is a reasonably safe Labor seat.
|Teresa Harding||Liberal National||24,455||28.7||-5.1||29.6|
|Troy Aggett||One Nation||13,273||15.6||+15.6||14.9|
|Geoff Darr||Family First||2,406||2.8||0.0||2.9|
2016 two-party-preferred result
|Teresa Harding||Liberal National||35,029||41.1||-3.6||41.9|
Booths have been divided into five areas. Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Those booths in the City of Ipswich have been divided into four parts. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. Most of Blair’s population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in four out of five areas, ranging from 51.1% in rural Ipswich to 68.8% in East Ipswich. The Liberal Party polled 51.1% in Somerset.
One Nation’s primary vote ranged from 11.4% in North Ipswich to 21.3% in rural Ipswich.
|Voter group||ON prim %||ALP 2PP %||Total votes||% of votes|
Election results in Blair at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
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