ALP 2.5%
Incumbent MP
Yvette D’Ath, since 2007.
Geography
Northern Brisbane. Petrie covers suburbs on the northern edge of the City of Brisbane, including Bracken Ridge and parts of Aspley. It also includes parts of Moreton Bay Regional Council, including Redcliffe, Scarborough and Deception Bay.
History
Petrie was created as part of the 1949 expansion of Parliament, and has always been a marginal seat, changing sides on many occasions. The seat has been a bellwether seat since 1987.
The seat was first won by Alan Hulme (Liberal) in 1949. Hulme served as a minister in the Menzies government from 1958 until 1961, when he was defeated by Reginald O’Brien (ALP), and Hulme won the seat back off O’Brien in 1963, before resuming a ministerial role.
O’Brien retired in 1972, and the seat was won by Marhsall Cooke. Cooke was not preselected by the Liberals in 1974, and he retired, with John Hodges winning the seat. Hodges held the seat for the Liberals until the 1983 election, when Dean Wells (ALP) won the seat. Hodges won it back off Wells in 1984, and Wells went on to serve as a minister in Labor state government from 1989 until 2004.
Hodges was finally defeated by the ALP’s Gary Johns in 1987. Johns went on to serve as a minister in the last term of the Keating government, losing his seat to Liberal Teresa Gambaro in 1996.
Gambaro held the seat for eleven years before losing to Yvette D’Ath in 2007.
D’Ath was re-elected in 2010 amidst a large anti-Labor swing in Queensland was a minimal 1.7% swing to the Liberal National Party.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Yvette D’Ath is running for re-election. The LNP is running Luke Howarth. The Greens are running John Marshall. The Palmer United Party is running Thor Prohaska.
Assessment
D’Ath managed to survive with a minor swing in 2010, but she faces a very tight race in 2013. If there is a significant swing to the LNP in Queensland she will struggle to survive.
2010 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Yvette D’Ath | ALP | 32,677 | 42.79 | -6.27 |
| Dean Teasdale | LNP | 30,590 | 40.06 | -2.76 |
| Peter Jeremijenko | GRN | 6,949 | 9.10 | +4.68 |
| Sally Vincent | FF | 3,829 | 5.01 | +3.14 |
| Gabriel Buckley | LDP | 1,604 | 2.10 | +1.79 |
| Lawrence Addison | DLP | 715 | 0.94 | +0.94 |
2010 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Yvette D’Ath | ALP | 40,097 | 52.51 | -1.70 |
| Dean Teasdale | LNP | 36,267 | 47.49 | +1.70 |
Polling booths in Petrie at the 2010 federal election. South in green, West in yellow, East in blue.
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas. Booths in the City of Brisbane have been grouped as South.
Those around Redcliffe have been grouped as East, and the remainder around North Lakes and at the northern end of the electorate have been grouped as West.
The ALP won a majority in all areas, varying from 50.7% in the south to 54.2% in the west.
| Voter group | GRN % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 9.48 | 53.16 | 24,727 | 32.38 |
| South | 8.79 | 50.68 | 18,206 | 23.84 |
| West | 8.60 | 54.15 | 15,153 | 19.84 |
| Other votes | 9.32 | 52.10 | 18,278 | 23.94 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Petrie at the 2010 federal election.
Luke Howarth is the LNP candidate for this seat, and Labors’ Yvette D’Ath is running again. The Greens are running John Marshall here. Should be an easy gain for the LNP
I think Ms D’ath has a solid following and will poll well this will be very close !
As always, Yvette can rely on rivers of cash from her AWU mates, but I suspect it won’t be enough this time. I live in this seat, and the LNP are running a strong campaign. Barely hear or see anything of Yvette now days.
Well sadly I have to agree with “electionlova” Ms D’ath will lose her seat, as she has publically backed Ms Gillard and was seen walking triumphantly with the Gillard backers to the caucus meeting for the recent spill election.
Voters will not forget that especially Queenslanders.
It is 5 months plus until September but Ms D’ ath: prediction she will comfortably lose her seat with a 7 % swing against her.
As a Labor voter I agree with Grassy and predict that Yvette D’ath will also lose this seat.
Latest Sports Bet odds in Petrie confirm this prediction showing that Labor has drifted from $2.30 to $2.50 whilst the Coalition has firmed from $1.57 to $1.50.
Hard to see Labor retaining this one and regional internal polling suggests likewise.
Thanks DB. As of this morning the momentum continues with the Coalition in Petrie. Latest Sports Bet odds show Labor is steady at $2.50 whilst the Coalition has firmed from $1.50 to $1.45.
More bad news for Yvette D’ath in Petrie.
The momentum continues for the Coalition in Petrie. Latest Sports Bet odds show the Coalition has firmed from $1.45 to $1.33 whilst Labor has drifted from $2.50 to $2.65.
Continuation of bad news for Yvette D’ath.
Latest Centrebet odds in Petrie show the Coaltion has firmed from $1.72 to $1.37 whilst Labor has drifted from $2.00 to $2.90.
LNP have a massive problem in Scott Driscoll…
Rosemary Smith, the problems the LNP face with Scott Driscoll are nothing in comparison to the problems Labor faces in general this election. There is more to this seat than the State Seat of Redcliffe. The LNP will win Petrie.
Well the question is whether those who voted LNP at State are willing to vote for them again at Federal… and looking at that at the booth breakdowns a lot of those booths in the State seat of Redcliffe are ALP. I think LNP will still win but it will be tight. Without the Driscoll problem it would have been a walk in.
News gets wprse for Yvette D’ath.
Sports Bet odds this afternoon in Petrie show that the LNP remains stationary at $1.33 whilst Labor has drifted from $2.65 to $3.00.
I moved to this electorate area in 2011. Iam from a very strong Labor background. My grand father was a prominent union man, my father was good friends with Bob Hawke and Gough Whitlam. They both attended myfathers funeral. I askedsome questions of Ms D’ath. Apparently she didnt like my questions and has put me on the “no contact” list. I didnt think any labor supporter should be placed on this list ever! But shesays shedoesnt need my vote…….so be it. Enjoy working at Maccas Yvette
Bella rozenberg, I too was a Labor voter lived in North Lakes I have moved away, but my wife’s family are traditional labor voters, her grandfather was very high up in the Labor party in Queensland in 50′s and 60′s, he would be disgusted in the Labor brand and their self serving attitude.
Again Grow up Labor this includes Ms D’ath
Bella you do realise that in any office, an MP is given the questions by staffers so you shouldn’t really be annoyed with y’vette, it should be the staffer
I actually saw this person ms dath….she spoke to me….not her staffers
Ms D’ath is the one who said she didnt need my vote!
Hi Folks,
My name is Thor Prohaska and I would like to introduce myself as the Palmer United Candidate for the federal seat of Petrie.
I see you are all very focused on the Labor/LNP contest. Well the one thing that they don’t offer that we do is to represent what the electorate thinks. Whereas any member of either of the other parties have to toe the party line.
As the PUP candidate for Petrie I pledge that I will faithfully represent without fear or favour what the voters of the Petrie electorate think on all policies and issues.
It doesn’t matter what your political views are I will put what you and the electorate thinks first.
For example, if the majority in the Petrie electorate wants the sky to be Orange and I and/or the Party think that it should be Blue then I will argue for Orange and vote that way on your behalf.
So a vote for me and the PUP in Petrie is a vote for genuine representation. Why settle for anything less?
Let the contest of ideas begin.
Regards, Thor
P.S. Whoever is administering this page could you please correct the spelling of my surname. It is Prohaska no Prohasky. Thanks.
To the moderator. I see that something went wrong when I was typing this message and I have made a typo at the start of the post where I typed ‘prohaand ska’ and it should have been ‘Prohaska and’. Can you please correct it. And once you have corrected my name could you please delete the P.S. at the bottom of the first post. Thanks.
Are people allowed to come here to campaign?
Further blow to Yvette D’ath.
This morning the Centrebet odds in Petrie show the gap has widened between the major parties. Support for the LNP has firmed from $1.37 to $1.28 whilst support for Labor has drifted from $2.90 to $3.25.