ALP 4.1%
Incumbent MP
Nikki Boyd, since 2015.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Pine Rivers covers southern parts of Moreton Bay LGA, including Strathpine, Bray Park, Warner Dayboro, Mount Nebo, Samford Village and Mt Pleasant, and parts of Lawnton.
Redistribution
Pine Rivers shifted south, gaining the rural areas including Samford Village, Highvale, Draper and Mount Nebo from Ferny Grove, while losing rural areas on its northern fringe to Kurwongbah and Glass House. The seat’s population is concentrated in the seat’s south-eastern corner, and in this area the seat lost Joyner to Kurwongbah and gained a small nearby area from Kurwongbah. These changes cut the Labor margin from 7.7% to 4.1%.
History
The seat of Pine Rivers first existed from 1972 to 1992. It was abolished in 1992 and restored in 2009. Ever since 1974 the seat has gone with the party of government.
Pine Rivers was held by the ALP’s Kenneth Leese from 1972 to 1974. The seat was held by Rob Akers from 1974 to 1983, when he lost to National candidate Yvonne Chapman. Chapman held the seat until her defeat in 1989. Chapman went on to serve as Mayor of Pine Rivers Shire from 1994 to 2008.
Margaret Woodgate won Pine Rivers for the ALP in 1989. When the seat was abolished in 1992 she moved to the seat of Kurwongbah. She served as a minister in the Goss government from 1995 to 1996. She retired in 1997.
Carolyn Male won the new seat of Glass House in 2001. She held the seat until 2009, when a redistribution changed the seat into a notional LNP seat. She then moved to the restored seat of Pine Rivers in 2009.
In 2012, Male retired, and Labor candidate Patrick Bulman lost to LNP candidate Seath Holswich.
Holswich lost to Labor’s Nikki Boyd in 2015.
Candidates
- Seath Holswich (Independent)
- Michael Kosenko (Independent)
- Nikki Boyd (Labor)
- Jack Margartis (Greens)
- Greg French (Civil Liberties, Consumer Rights, No-Tolls)
- Peter Warren (One Nation)
- Chris Thompson (Liberal National)
Assessment
Pine Rivers is a marginal Labor seat.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Nikki Boyd | Labor | 14,752 | 48.5 | +21.1 | 44.4 |
| Seath Holswich | Liberal National | 11,820 | 38.8 | -14.1 | 41.0 |
| John Marshall | Greens | 2,444 | 8.0 | -0.4 | 9.9 |
| Thor Prohaska | Independent | 1,419 | 4.7 | +4.7 | 3.2 |
| Palmer United Party | 0.9 | ||||
| Others | 0.6 | ||||
| Informal | 651 | 2.1 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Nikki Boyd | Labor | 16,953 | 57.7 | +21.3 | 54.1 |
| Seath Holswich | Liberal National | 12,440 | 42.3 | -21.3 | 45.9 |
| Exhausted | 1,042 | 3.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Pine Rivers have been divided into three areas: east, south and west.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the most populous area, polling 65% in the east. The LNP won 51.6% in the west and 58.3% in the south.
The Greens came third, with a vote ranging from 7% in the east to almost 17% in the west.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| East | 7.4 | 64.7 | 9,200 | 31.6 |
| South | 13.8 | 41.7 | 4,242 | 14.6 |
| West | 16.9 | 48.4 | 3,576 | 12.3 |
| Other votes | 8.3 | 54.3 | 12,065 | 41.5 |
Election results in Pine Rivers at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
Pine Rivers is one to watch with the former LNP Member, Seath Holswich running as an Independent. Surely he will preference his old party ahead of Labor. PHON will also poll well in this seat, particularly in the Strathpine/Bray Park area. Labor would likely lose a lot of their voters to PHON there.
Holswich apparently jumped ship to Family First after he lost his seat. If he’s an independent here, I guess he’s in the fraction of FF who didn’t want to be in Cory Bernardi’s new party. Either that or a real party-hopper.
Actually Australian Conservatives are not registered in Queensland yet, so that is also a possible explanation.
Hi, allow me to respond. In late 2015 I resigned my LNP membership. I joined Family First and helped run their 2016 federal campaign in Qld. I resigned from FF in late 2016, we’ll beofre the whole Aust Conservatives merger happened. I am running as a true independent – no party alignment or support.
This is one to watch!
PHON and Holswich’s preferences flow to LNP before Labor.
Greens and Kosenko go to Labor.
The former will have a combined primary vote much higher than the latter which will make the difference. I think the LNP are slight favourites to win under this scenario.
Plus former sitting member running as an independenr who has campaigned for 12 months and will preference the LNP.
Wouldn’t the ex-LNP independent just cannibalise the existing LNP vote?
LNP gain
LNP gain. Seats like this can swing like a *enter any type of profanity here*
Earlier in the week I had this as an LNP gain, bit I now think its line ball at best.
ALP retain.