11:34 – I have to admit tonight’s election has been a more difficult one to call, due to some reluctance to call seats due to pre-poll voting. There’ll be a bunch more analysis to write tonight but I’ll return tomorrow with some clear-headed summaries of the state of play.
9:05 – There has been a big swing towards the LNP in Queensland, which has seen them solidify their hold on marginals such as Forde, Flynn, Capricornia, Dawson and Petrie. Interestingly the swing to Peter Dutton in Dickson was much smaller. It looks like the LNP has gained Herbert and Longman, and Labor is just ahead in Blair.
8:34 – It’s been a long few hours. The big unknown question is how the massively expanded pre-poll vote flows. If that pre-poll vote has the same swing as the election-day vote we’re probably headed for either a Coalition majority government or a hung parliament. But there has been a big change in the composition of that vote, and I am reluctant to make assumptions about those votes until we see how they look.
6:00 – Polls have just closed in 123 electorates on Australia’s east coast. Polls will close in 12 electorates in South Australia and the Northern Territory in 30 minutes, followed ninety minutes later by the remaining 16 electorates in Western Australia.
I will be regularly dropping in her to post broad updates on the results, but you can also find my analysis on the Guardian’s live blog.