Mid-West – WA 2025

NAT 8.4%

Incumbent MP

  • Shane Love (Nationals), member for Mid-West since 2013.
  • Merome Beard (Liberal), member for North West Central since 2022.

Geography
Mid-West covers a large part of the north of the state, stretching from Coral Bay to the northern fringe of Perth, with an exception of the area around Geraldton. Most of the seat’s population lies to the south of Geraldton.

Redistribution
Mid-West is an amalgamation of the former seats of Moore and North West Central, with about 80% of the voters coming from Moore, while most of the land mass came from North West Central.

History

Mid-West is a new seat, primarily replacing the seat of Moore, but also taking over a majority of voters from the seat of North West Central.

Moore was a traditional Country/National seat that was held by the party from 1950 until the mid-1980s.

In 1985 the sitting National Country MP switched to the Liberal Party. The Liberals held the seat from 1985 until 2008. Bill McNee held the seat from 1989 until 2005.

The 2008 redistribution saw the abolition of the National-held seat of Greenough, and Moore effectively was redrawn to cover most of the two pre-existing electorates.

Grant Woodhams had won Greenough for the Nationals in 2005. Prior to his election, the Liberal Party had held the seat since 1945.

In 2008, Woodhams was pitted against Liberal Member for Moore Gary Snook. While Snook led on the primary vote (40% against 32%) he benefited from Labor preferences and won the seat with 53.1% of the vote after preferences.

Woodhams retired after one term, and he was succeeded by Nationals candidate Shane Love. Love was re-elected in 2017 and 2021. Love was elected leader of the Nationals in early 2023.

The seat of North West Central can be traced back to the seat of North West Coastal, formed in 2005 from parts of the abolished seats of Burrup and Ningaloo. Both seats had existed since 1996.

Burrup was held over those nine years by the ALP’s Fred Riebeling, and Ningaloo was held by Rod Sweetman for the Liberal Party.

In 2005, Riebeling ran for the ALP in North West Coastal while Sweetman was unsuccessful in finding a seat elsewhere for either the Liberal Party or Family First. Riebeling won the seat despite a small swing to the Liberal Party.

In 2008, Riebeling retired and the ALP ran Vince Catania, who had served one term in the Legislative Council. Sweetman returned to run for the Liberals. The seat was renamed to North West after more areas further from the coast were added to the seat.

Catania won with no swing against him, despite only polling 36% of the vote, and the combined vote for the Liberal and National candidates almost reaching 49%. The Liberal candidate came second, with the Nationals a close third.

Catania resigned from the ALP and joined the Nationals in 2009, and he was re-elected to represent the renamed seat of North West Central in 2013, 2017 and 2021.

Catania resigned from parliament in 2022, and the subsequent by-election was won by Nationals candidate Merome Beard.

Beard resigned from the Nationals in October 2023 in order to join the Liberal Party.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
This is a hard seat to pick, but it seems more likely the Nationals will hold the seat. Love is his party’s leader, and most of the voters in Mid-West have come from his seat. But Beard’s prospects as a Liberal couldn’t be ruled out.

2021 result – Moore

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Shane Love Nationals 8,353 38.0 +1.1 38.6
Barni Norton Labor 7,432 33.8 +13.9 34.0
Darren Slyns Liberal 3,701 16.8 -2.0 16.3
Ross Williamson Shooters, Fishers & Farmers 984 4.5 -1.3 4.1
Brian Spittles Greens 638 2.9 -1.0 2.7
Ian Henry Frizzell One Nation 579 2.6 -10.1 2.7
T Asmutaitis No Mandatory Vaccination 233 1.1 +1.1 1.0
Richard Banka WAxit 86 0.4 +0.4 0.4
Others 0.1
Informal 855 3.7

2021 two-party-preferred result – Moore

Candidate Party Votes % Redist
Shane Love Nationals 12,870 58.5 58.4
Barni Norton Labor 9,132 41.5 41.6

2021 result – North West Central

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Cherie Sibosado Labor 3,114 40.2 +13.5
Vince Catania Nationals 3,075 39.7 +3.6
Alys McKeough Liberal 611 7.9 -7.9
Sandy Burt Greens 318 4.1 -1.5
Robert Tonkin One Nation 232 3.0 -8.4
Stefan Colagiuri Shooters, Fishers & Farmers 233 3.0 +2.6
A Agyputri No Mandatory Vaccination 81 1.0 +1.0
Henry Seddon Independent 40 0.5 +0.5
Brendan McKay WAxit 37 0.5 +0.2
Informal 367 4.5

2021 two-party-preferred result – North West Central

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Vince Catania Nationals 3,997 51.7 -8.4
Cherie Sibosado Labor 3,738 48.3 +8.4

2022 by-election result – North West Central

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Merome Beard Nationals 2,042 40.2 +0.4
Will Baston Liberal 1,353 26.6 +18.7
Niels Glahn-Bertelsen Greens 635 12.5 +8.4
Leanne Lockyer Legalise Cannabis 269 5.3 +5.3
Andrea Randle Western Australia Party 202 4.0 +4.0
Gerald Laurent One Nation 197 3.9 +0.9
Anthony Fels Western Australia Party 108 2.1 +2.1
Aaron Horsman No Mandatory Vaccination 82 1.6 +0.6
Peter Dunne Independent 55 1.1 +1.1
Peter Baker Small Business Party 55 1.1 +1.1
Tony Stokes Independent 44 0.9 +0.9
Jake McCoull Liberal Democrats 42 0.8 +0.8
Informal 251 4.7

2022 by-election two-party-preferred result – North West Central

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Merome Beard Nationals 3,071 60.5
Will Baston Liberal 2,008 39.5

Booth breakdown

Polling places have been split into four parts. Three of the four areas are in the southern end of the electorate, south of Geraldton. This area was split into south, mid-south and mid-north. The remainder was grouped as “north”.

The Nationals two-party-preferred vote ranging from 52.4 in the south to 70.5% in the mid-south.

The Liberal Party came third, with a primary vote ranging from 6.5% in the north to 21.2% in the mid-south.

Voter group LIB prim % NAT 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 16.5 52.4 3,735 20.4
Mid-South 21.2 70.5 2,548 13.9
Mid-North 17.9 61.7 2,229 12.2
North 6.5 59.2 1,030 5.6
Other votes 16.3 57.8 4,714 25.7
Pre-poll 14.6 54.7 4,058 22.2

Election results in Mid-West at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Nationals, Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

Election results at the 2022 North West Central by-election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes (Nationals vs Liberal) and primary votes for the Nationals, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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6 COMMENTS

  1. nats can threaten to run in liberal seats all they want they wont get anywhere in the metro area and i think they will beat Beard anyway. Beard is better off trying in Pilbara if you ask me

  2. There’s also the Labor-held seat of Geraldton to go for – a seat that the non-Labor parties NEED to win back for a larger opposition.

  3. Agree John, from what I read Merome Beard resides in Carnarvon which is at the northern end of this district. It is also quite close to Exmouth which has been moved into Pilbara as of this redistribution.

    Since Exmouth is also one of the major centres in her existing (soon to be abolished) seat of North West Central, she would have some name recognition and would be a strong challenger against Kevin Michel (incumbent Labor MP for Pilbara).

  4. Merome Beard Doesn’t understand the concept of “democracy” she was elected as a National, the people didn’t want a Liberal MP. And she should have resigned and triggered a by-election if she believed the Liberals were better in North-West Central. How many more times do the people of this region need to be tricked by an MP who switches parties?

    She only switched because of political ambitions. She knows she is more likely to be a minister of some sorts under the Liberals. So she took some bargain (I dare say corrupt)

    WA Liberals will at best gain 10 seats in 2025.

  5. @daniel T shes done it because of the redistribution she would have been barred from running for Mid-west as shane love was the senior mp of the two. and shes hoping to build brand recognition to get herself relected.

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