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Lisa Baker rumoured to be retiring here.
Dan Bull (former Bayswater Mayor) expected to replace her
Source:
https://thewest.com.au/opinion/josh-zimmerman-labor-is-discovering-theres-a-downside-to-electoral-domination-c-12709621
As in most other WA seats, Labor’s ridiculously high primary will likely fall at the next election. Combined with an incumbent retiring, this should make Maylands the second highest target seat for the Greens in this election after Fremantle. It will still almost certainly stay in Labor’s hands because of the size of their 2021 primary, but the Greens should be able to lift their primary into the 20s, giving them a bigger base to fight future elections from.
Dan Bull confirmed as Labor candidate.
Thoughts on this race?
On fed figures, rough calculations
ALP: 41.3
LIB: 23.7
GRN: 22.3
OTH: 12.7
Greens might be able to finish 2nd here
Caroline Perks running again for the Greens. She has previously run as a Perth Federal candidate and Maylands in the State. I think this is one of those seats that isn’t as safe as the margin suggests.
Those areas around Bayswater and the Maylands Peninsula area is trending very green.
A swing of 20% plus against Labor won’t be surprising here considering 2021 was a crazy year unlikely to repeat ever again. The Lib vote will recover somewhat in WA but probably less in Maylands than other areas. I’m fully excepting this to end up Greens v Labor ttp specially considering Greens should/will probably be heavily targeting the areas in the Maylands electorate as part of their federal campaigning.