ALP 2.0%
Incumbent MP
Peter Tinley, since 2009.
Geography
Southern Perth. Willagee covers the suburbs of Kardinya, Murdoch, Coolbellup, Samson, Bibra Lake and part of South Lake. The seat covers parts of the Fremantle, Melville and Cockburn local government areas.
Redistribution
Willagee shifted to the south-east, losing Hilton and Spearwood to Fremantle and losing the remainder of Melville to Bicton. Willagee then gained Kardinya and Murdoch from Bateman and Bibra Lake and part of South Lake from Jandakot. These changes cut the Labor margin from 10.6% to 2%.
History
The seat of Willagee was created in 1996, and has always been held by Labor.
Labor candidate Alan Carpenter won the seat in 1996. Carpenter was re-elected in the seat in 2001, and served as a minister in the Gallop Labor government. Carpenter was elected to a third term in parliament in 2005, and became Premier and Labor leader in 2006 following Geoff Gallop’s retirement.
Carpenter led the government until 2008, when he led Labor to defeat. Carpenter resigned from parliament in 2009.
Labor candidate Peter Tinley won the 2009 Willagee by-election, and was re-elected in 2013.
Candidates
- Felicity McGeorge (Greens)
- Peter Tinley (Labor)
- Paul Potter (Micro Business Party)
- Corina Abraham (Socialist Alliance)
- Robin Hosking (Australian Christians)
- Rebecca Aubrey (Liberal)
Assessment
While Willagee has always been held by Labor, the recent redistribution has shifted the seat into much less friendly territory for the ALP. This makes this seat in play at this election, although if the current polls predicting a large statewide swing to Labor prove true, they should hold on to Willagee with ease.
2013 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Tinley | Labor | 9,280 | 46.5 | -5.6 | 42.2 |
| Samuel Piipponen | Liberal | 7,097 | 35.6 | +5.7 | 44.5 |
| Alisha Ryans-Taylor | Greens | 2,634 | 13.2 | -4.1 | 11.0 |
| Sam Wainwright | Independent | 397 | 2.0 | +2.0 | 0.9 |
| Teresa Van Lieshout | Independent | 361 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.0 |
| Wayne D. Shortland | Independent | 181 | 0.9 | +0.9 | 0.5 |
| Informal | 1,431 | 6.7 |
2013 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Peter Tinley | Labor | 12,080 | 60.6 | -4.5 | 52.0 |
| Samuel Piipponen | Liberal | 7,856 | 39.4 | +4.5 | 48.0 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor won a large 62% majority of the two-party-preferred vote, and a smaller 55% majority in the south. The Liberal Party won over 55% in the north.
The Greens vote ranged from 9% in the south to almost 12% in the centre.
| Voter group | GRN % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 10.6 | 44.6 | 6,256 | 30.1 |
| Central | 11.7 | 62.2 | 5,051 | 24.3 |
| South | 9.0 | 54.9 | 4,820 | 23.2 |
| Pre-poll | 11.6 | 46.2 | 1,175 | 5.7 |
| Other votes | 13.3 | 48.2 | 3,478 | 16.7 |
Election results in Willagee at the 2013 WA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
With the redistribution aniticipated to reduce the Labor majority, are we expecting more smaller or independents to run ? such as the SFP ? Although Shooters, Fishers, Farmers is essentially targetting rural areas, a concerted effort might pick up disenchanted voters of both major parties.