ALP 10.2%
Incumbent MP
Paul Papalia, since 2008. Previously Member for Peel 2007-2008.
Geography
Southern fringe of Perth metropolitan region. Warnbro covers coastal suburbs at the southern end of Rockingham council area, including Singleton, Secret Harbour, Karnup, Warnbro and Port Kennedy.
Redistribution
Warnbro contracted, losing suburbs on its eastern edge to Darling Range and the new seat of Baldivis.
History
Warnbro was newly created at the 2008 redistribution, but was a smaller version of the former seat of Peel. Peel was held by Labor continuously from its creation in 1989 until its abolition.
Norm Malborough had been first elected in Cockburn in 1986, and moved to Peel in 1989. He held the seat until his resignation under a cloud of scandal in 2006.
In early 2007, the by-election was won by Labor candidate Paul Papalia.
Papalia won the new seat of Warnbro in 2008, and was re-elected in 2013.
Candidates
- Alexander Scholz (One Nation)
- Luke Muscedere (Liberal)
- Deonne Kingsford (Australian Christians)
- Thomas Hunter (Julie Matheson for WA)
- Paul Papalia (Labor)
- Jillian Cain (Greens)
- Samantha Figgins (Micro Business Party)
Assessment
Warnbro is a safe Labor seat.
2013 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Paul Papalia | Labor | 12,153 | 52.8 | +4.0 | 54.1 |
| Joel Marks | Liberal | 8,846 | 38.4 | +6.7 | 37.0 |
| Jordon Steele-John | Greens | 2,016 | 8.8 | -3.4 | 8.9 |
| Informal | 1,800 | 7.3 |
2013 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Paul Papalia | Labor | 13,534 | 58.8 | -1.3 | 60.2 |
| Joel Marks | Liberal | 9,481 | 41.2 | +1.3 | 39.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into two halves: north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in both areas: 59% in the south and 63% in the north.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 63.0 | 8,964 | 47.0 |
| South | 58.9 | 5,634 | 29.6 |
| Other votes | 54.7 | 2,904 | 15.2 |
| Pre-poll | 59.2 | 1,564 | 8.2 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Warnbro at the 2013 WA state election