Scarborough – WA 2017

LIB 17.3%

Incumbent MP
Liza Harvey, since 2008.

Geography
Northern Perth. Scarborough covers the suburbs of Scarborough, Doubleview, Innaloo, Trigg and parts of Gwelup and Karrinyup, near the coast in the inner north of Perth. The entire seat is contained in the City of Stirling.

Redistribution
Very minor changes to Scarborough’s boundaries.

History
Scarborough was created in its current form at the 2008 election. A seat named Scarborough previously existed as a marginal seat from 1974 to 1996.

The previous seat was held by the Liberals from 1974 to 1983, then the ALP from 1983 to 1989, and again by the Liberal Party from 1989 to 1996.

The new seat was created with a notional Liberal margin of 2.6%. Liberal candidate Liza Harvey was elected with a 2.6% swing. Harvey was elevated to the ministry in 2012. She was re-elected in 2013, and became deputy premier in February 2016.

Candidates

  • Liza Harvey (Liberal)
  • Dan Bailey (Micro Business Party)
  • Steven Pynt (Julie Matheson for WA)
  • Kevin Host (Australian Christians)
  • Tony Walker (Labor)
  • Margaret Dodd (One Nation)
  • Judith Cullity (Greens)

Assessment
Scarborough is a safe Liberal seat.

2013 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Liza Harvey Liberal 12,681 61.8 +17.7
Eddie Lennie Labor 5,036 24.6 -5.8
Judith Cullity Greens 2,294 11.2 -1.4
Bruce Olsen Australian Christians 495 2.4 +0.3
Informal 1,156 5.3

2013 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Liza Harvey Liberal 13,792 67.3 +12.1
Eddie Lennie Labor 6,705 32.7 -12.1

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: east, north-west and south-west.

The Liberal Party’s two-party-preferred vote ranges from 62.8% in the east to 68.7% in the north-west.

The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 10.2% in the east to 12.4% in the south-west.

Voter group GRN % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North-West 10.8 68.7 5,060 24.7
South-West 12.4 67.8 5,690 27.7
East 10.2 62.8 3,850 18.8
Other votes 10.8 68.8 4,478 21.8
Pre-poll 11.6 67.6 1,428 7.0

Election results in Scarborough at the 2013 WA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

1 COMMENT

  1. Interesting that the PHON candidate in Scarborough has gone completely off piste, and has put up her own banners advocating putting the Liberals last.

    Probably not that important, as I can’t see ON getting a particularly high vote in the area. And given that I haven’t seen much election material (this is my electorate), I’d guess that the Liberals are confident that there is no real risk here, or they’d be trying to save Liza Harvey.

    That said, the ALP used to hold the old seat of Innaloo, and Scarborough was marginal when created…

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