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It’s hard to be certain, but on federal results this could well be an ALP vs Greens 2CP, which is certainly surprising. Would not be surprised to see One Nation make the 2CP either, there’ll certainly be a grand battle to see who’ll get clobbered 70-30 by Labor.
Based on federal results, the Greens beat the Liberals at a number of polling booths on primary votes. However, the right-wing vote was quite split. Preference flows from One Nation, Family First and Trumpet of Patriots would’ve helped the Liberals.
At the state election, even if the Liberals primary vote falls, they might still finish second after preferences because the Greens and One Nation preference the Liberals ahead of each other.
Greens may trivially get into 2nd here or in other ultra safe Labor seats but would they be able to do anything with that status? I don’t see them putting resources into this seat
@ BNJ
They may get into 2nd in St Albans in Victoria as well. It is interesting as this is the opposite of the realignment theory this seat has very low education and is very disadvanataged.