Gibson – SA 2022

LIB 9.8%

Incumbent MP
Corey Wingard, since 2018. Previously member for Mitchell, 2014-2018.

Geography
Southern Adelaide. Gibson covers the suburbs of Brighton, Hove, Warradale, Dover Gardens, Seacombe Gardens, Somerton Park and Sturt.

Redistribution
Gibson shifted slightly north, losing South Brighton to Black and gaining Somerton Park from Morphett. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 9.3% to 9.8%.

History
Gibson was created in 2018, primarily replacing the seat of Bright, but also taking in parts of Elder, Mitchell and Morphett.

The Liberal Party won both Bright and Mitchell off Labor in 2014. Corey Wingard won Mitchell, while David Spiers won Bright.

Wingard shifted to Gibson in 2018, while Spiers moved to Black, which took in southern parts of Bright and Mitchell.

Candidates

Assessment
Gibson is a safe Liberal seat.

2018 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Corey Wingard Liberal 10,965 48.1 +2.4 47.6
Matthew Carey Labor 5,843 25.6 -9.1 25.4
Kris Hanna SA-Best 4,107 18.0 +18.0 17.6
Gwydion Rozitisolds Greens 1,326 5.8 -3.0 5.7
Garry Connor Dignity 570 2.5 +1.5 2.4
Others 1.4
Informal 762 3.2

2018 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Corey Wingard Liberal 13,537 59.3 +5.6 59.8
Matthew Carey Labor 9,274 40.7 -5.6 40.2

Booth breakdown

Booths in Gibson have been divided into four areas: central, east, north-west and south-west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 53.5% in the east to 64% in the north-west.

SA-Best came third, with a primary vote ranging from 13.9% in the north-west to 20.7% in the east.

Voter group SAB prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
East 20.7 53.5 4,555 19.5
Central 18.1 58.3 3,829 16.4
North-West 13.9 64.0 3,355 14.4
South-West 15.3 59.8 3,212 13.8
Other votes 18.0 62.1 8,357 35.9

Election results in Gibson at the 2018 South Australian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and SA-Best.

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5 COMMENTS

  1. Why did nobody see this coming? I’m honestly laughing at this point. I always knew Labor would win a majority this election and they did just that. Even the premiers seat is in doubt (although it isn’t really historically a safe seat and nor is this) practically nobody thought these would be in play.

    Scott Morrison should resign because he is also to blame for the result here. Morrison should accept he is going to lose badly this may and should just admit this like Zak Kirkup, Canada’s Kathleen Wynne and many others who conceded before the election was held.

    No government is immune during this pandemic. A government in Atlantic canada last year also lost during the pandemic so this should be no shocker. People want to look to the future not the past.

    How many 1st term government state losses will it take for the coalition to realise it is out of touch and should resign? QLD 2015, VIC 2014 and now SA 2022. I cannot recall the last time an incumbent 1st term Labor government lost reelection or for that matter got a swing against it after a 1st term.

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