ALP 15.1%
Incumbent MP
Leanne Linard, since 2015.
Geography
Northern parts of the City of Brisbane. Nudgee covers the Brisbane suburbs of Nundah, Boondall, Northgate, Banyo and Nudgee, and parts of Geebung, Wavell Heights and Zillmere.
History
The seat of Nudgee has existed since 1960, and has been won by the Labor Party at every election except 2012.
Jack Melloy first won the seat in 1960. He served as deputy leader of the ALP from 1974 to 1976, and retired in 1977.
Melloy was succeeded by Ken Vaughan in 1977. He served as a minister in the Goss Labor government from 1989 to 1992, and retired from Nudgee in 1995.
Neil Roberts won Nudgee in 1995. He was re-elected in 1998, 2001, 2004, 2006 and 2009, and served as a minister in the Labor government from 2009 to 2012.
Neil Roberts retired at the 2012 election. Nudgee was won by LNP candidate Jason Woodforth, beating Labor candidate Leanne Linard with a 17.4% swing.
Linard returned in 2015, unseating Jason Woodforth with a 14.4% swing. Linard was re-elected in 2017 and 2020.
Assessment
Nudgee is a safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Leanne Linard | Labor | 16,836 | 51.5 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Shaw | Liberal National | 9,818 | 30.0 | +1.3 |
| Jim Davies | Greens | 4,327 | 13.2 | -0.1 |
| Carrol Halliwell | One Nation | 1,149 | 3.5 | +3.5 |
| Dane Pritchard | Informed Medical Options | 584 | 1.8 | +1.8 |
| Informal | 839 | 2.5 |
2020 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Leanne Linard | Labor | 21,292 | 65.1 | +0.8 |
| Ryan Shaw | Liberal National | 11,422 | 34.9 | -0.8 |
Booths in Nudgee have been divided into three areas: north-east, north-west and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, with a vote ranging from 65.2% in the south to 69.7% in the north-west.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 10.5% in the north-east to 16.1% in the south.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 16.1 | 65.2 | 5,456 | 16.7 |
| North-East | 10.5 | 68.4 | 2,483 | 7.6 |
| North-West | 13.4 | 69.7 | 2,011 | 6.1 |
| Pre-poll | 12.5 | 64.0 | 11,482 | 35.1 |
| Other votes | 13.1 | 64.5 | 11,282 | 34.5 |
Election results in Nudgee at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens.
Relatively easy Labor retain – with a below average swing against them. Leanne is a very good local MP and Minister. She’ll be a senior shadow minister (might even be in contention for a leadership position).
Leanne is in the Unity faction so would be difficult for her to become leader. But definitely in line to be a senior shadow minister.