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Is this prediction based on polling or random? I don’t think the swing against Labor will be as big as 27.8%. Especially with Brittany Laura’s incumbency. Probably between 10% and 20% away from Labor.
@AA it’s based on polling, historical trends, federal results and random guesses. It will indeed be a huge swing though. I did of course need all the percentages to add up to 100% so some numbers are inflated or deflated. But Labor is in deep trouble and could fall to third.
Yes there is a danger of Labor being in third. They are in deep trouble in seats like this, especially Keppel because of its high existing One Nation vote and the money going into James Ashby’s campaign.
Truly awful what happened to Brittany Lauga earlier this week. I hope justice is served.
(If you don’t know and you’re Googling, TW: SA.)
Yes that’s just awful. Hope she’s alright and justice is served.