QLD 2015 – day four counting update
Ben Raue -
17
Most of yesterday's attention was focused on the seats of Lockyer and Gaven, where new preference counts have been mostly completed today after the two candidates selected for the election-night two-party count proved to be incorrect in both seats.
As of last night, the LNP's Ian...
QLD 2015 – what happened to the preferences?
The final polls of the campaign all told the same story - the LNP leading with 52% of the two-party-preferred vote over Labor. This is certainly not what happened - in the seats where Labor and the LNP came in the top two, Labor...
QLD 2015 – day three counting update
Rather than editing the original post, I've decided to post each morning covering the counting in key seats over the previous day.
Yesterday, I identified Ferny Grove, Glass House, Mansfield, Maryborough, Mount Ommaney, Redlands and Whitsunday as seats worth watching. I've now also added Gaven...
QLD 2015 – could Pauline Hanson win?
TLDR - Yes, she could, but it's going to be close.
On Saturday night, it was a minor story that Pauline Hanson had polled quite highly in the south-east Queensland seat of Lockyer, winning 27.3% of the primary vote, ahead of Labor but 6% behind...
QLD 2015 – close seats to watch
I've identified seven seats that I think are close enough to be worth discussing. Excluding these seven, Labor holds 42 seats, the LNP holds 37, and three are held by KAP and an independent.
In order to win a majority, the ALP would need to...
Tally Room on the radio
In between today's election posts, I wanted to let you know that I joined the Election Nerds radio show on election night. The show was taped at 2SER in Sydney, and while it is normally broadcast on 2SER, it was broadcast across the Community Radio...
QLD 2015 – regional result breakdown
The results of the Queensland election varied substantially between the various regions of Queensland.
Labor last won an election in 2009, when they won a small but solid majority of 51 seats. It now appears that Labor has won around 43-46 seats at the 2015...
QLD 2015 – what happened?
This is the first in a series of wrap-up posts. I will also devote a post to going in-depth in the undecided seats, as well as a regional breakdown of the vote, and a look at how preferences flowed, over the course of today...
QLD 2015 – election night
11:52pm - Just to be clear, that's it from me tonight. As it currently stands, the ALP holds 44 seats, needing one more to form a majority. There are three seats undecided. Labor leads the LNP in Whitsunday, and the LNP leads Labor in...
QLD 2015 – lunchtime update
There's a lot going on in Queensland today, so here's a fresh blogpost to tide you over until polls close. There are multiple reports of voters being turned away due to a lack of ID (which shouldn't stop them from voting), the LNP is...