Podcast #74: The final countdown

Ben is joined this week by Jill Sheppard and Peter Brent to discuss the state of the campaign, long term voting trends and the...

Historic election trends between the states

One of the big questions at this election is how the result will play out in each state. Labor has performed poorly in Queensland...

Which seats swing the most?

Last month I posted an analysis looking at how much seats have moved in terms of their two-party-preferred rank, relative to every other seat...

Early voting update

Today is the fourth day of pre-poll voting, and it seemed like a good time to check in on how many people have voted...

Shaking out bias in the election night count

In Monday's blog post, I ran through the data on the rate at which election results come in on election night: the rate in...

Podcast #73: The Australian Polling Council

We return again today to the polls, talking to two more pollsters from some of Australia's biggest political polls: Campbell White from YouGov/Newspoll and...

The election night time curve

I think those of us who have followed a lot of Australian elections have some instinctive sense of how election night progresses - when...

Who wins the early vote?

As a final part in my series on trends in people voting early, today I'm analysing differences in how people vote, depending on whether...

Getting the nominations balance right

There was a really interesting story in the Guardian yesterday from Michael McGowan and Joe Hinchliffe about a prospective One Nation candidate and his...

Which seats have the highest rates of early voting?

This is a follow-up to Monday's blog post, which explored the trends away from election day voting at the federal level, and how those...