Forest Lake – Brisbane 2020

Council margin – ALP 5.4%
Mayoral margin – ALP 0.4%

Incumbent councillor
Charles Strunk, since 2016.

Geography
South-western Brisbane. Forest Lake covers the suburbs of Richlands, Doolandella and Inala, on the southern edge of Brisbane City.

Redistribution
The northern boundary of Forest Lake shifted north to Ipswich Road, taking in parts of Jamboree and Moorooka. The western boundary retracted to the Centenary Highway, with the remaining area moved to Jamboree. These changes increased the Labor margin from 5.3% to 5.4%.

History
Forest Lake replaced Richlands ward in 2016. Richlands had been traditionally considered to be a safe Labor ward. Labor’s Les Bryant was elected in the area as councillor for Inala in 1991.

A redistribution in 1994 replaced Inala with Richlands, and Bryant shifted to that ward. He was re-elected in 1997, 2000 and 2004.

In 2004, Bryant’s margin was 15.8%. The 2008 redistribution expanded the Labor margin to 18.9%.

Bryant retired before the 2008 election, and was succeeded by Milton Dick, who held on despite a 14.9% swing to the LNP.

Dick was re-elected in 2012, winning a 13.7% swing while Labor was losing ground across the city, and has served as leader of the opposition on the council since 2012.

Dick retired in 2016, and the renamed Forest Lake ward was won by Labor’s Charles Strunk, despite a swing of over 12% to the LNP.

Candidates

  • Charles Strunk (Labor)
  • Jenny Mulkearns (Greens)
  • Roger Hooper (Liberal National)
  • Assessment
    Forest Lake is a marginal Labor ward, but Strunk would be hoping to strengthen his hold after a term in office. This ward has tended to swing backwards and forwards over the last few elections but Labor would be hoping any shift would favour them.

    2016 council result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Charles Strunk Labor 11,533 49.1 -4.9 49.2
    Leanne McFarlane Liberal National 9,560 40.7 -5.3 40.7
    Jenny Mulkearns Greens 2,386 10.2 +10.2 10.1
    Informal 962 3.9

    2016 council two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Charles Strunk Labor 12,235 55.3 -12.4 55.4
    Leanne McFarlane Liberal National 9,886 44.7 +12.4 44.6
    Exhausted 1,358 5.8

    2016 mayoral result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Graham Quirk Liberal National 10,296 43.8 -7.9 43.6
    Rod Harding Labor 10,177 43.3 +5.1 43.4
    Ben Pennings Greens 1,467 6.2 -0.3 6.2
    Jeffrey Hodges Independent 946 4.0 +4.0 4.0
    Karel Boele People Decide 254 1.1 +1.1 1.1
    Jarrod Wirth Independent 197 0.8 +0.8 0.9
    Jim Eldridge Independent 190 0.8 +0.8 0.8
    Informal 944 3.9

    2016 mayoral two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Rod Harding Labor 10,920 50.3 +4.1 50.4
    Graham Quirk Liberal National 10,809 49.7 -4.1 49.7
    Exhausted 1,798 7.6

    Booth breakdown

    Booths in Forest Lake have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.

    Labor won solid majorities in the centre and north, polling 56-58% of the mayoral two-party-preferred vote and 62-64% of the council two-party-preferred vote.

    The LNP won smaller majorities in the more populous south of the ward, with 51.6% of the council vote and 54.6% of the mayoral vote.

    The Greens primary vote ranged from 8.6% in the centre to just over 10% in the other two areas.

    Voter group GRN council prim ALP council 2PP ALP mayoral 2PP Total votes % of votes
    South 10.3 48.4 45.4 8,719 38.9
    Central 8.6 63.6 57.5 5,007 22.3
    North 10.5 62.7 56.1 3,448 15.4
    Other votes 12.8 54.0 48.6 3,174 14.1
    Pre-poll 8.5 54.3 47.8 2,094 9.3

    Election results in Forest Lake at the 2016 Brisbane City Council election
    Toggle between two-party-preferred votes for council and lord mayor, and Greens primary votes for council.

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