LIB 0.9%
Incumbent MP
Ian Goodenough, since 2013.
Geography
Northern Perth. Moore covers suburbs along the coast on the northern fringe of Perth, including Carine, Hillarys, Sorrento, Mullaloo, Ocean Reef, Joondalup, Karrinyup, Kingsley, North Beach, Watermans Bay and Woodvale.
Redistribution
Moore moved slightly south, gaining Karrinyup and Gwellup from Curtin and losing Kinross to Pearce. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 0.7% to 0.9%.
History
Moore was created for the 1949 election, and has been dominated by conservative parties for most of its history. It has been held by the Country Party or Liberal Party for most of that period, although it was won by the ALP at three elections in the 1980s and was retained by a former Liberal independent in the 1990s.
Moore was first won in 1949 by the Country Party’s Hugh Leslie, a former state MP. Leslie held the seat until 1958, when he lost the seat to the Liberal Party’s Hugh Halbert. Leslie won the seat back in 1961, and retired in 1963.
Donald Maisey won the seat for the Country Party in 1963. He held the seat for the next decade, and lost in 1974 to the Liberal Party’s John Hyde. Hyde helped form ‘the Dries’ as a group of Liberal backbenchers supporting mass privatisations and deregulation, and was highly critical of the Fraser government. Hyde lost his seat in 1983.
The ALP’s Allen Blanchard won Moore in 1983, and held the seat until the 1990 election, when he lost to Liberal candidate Paul Filing.
Paul Filing was re-elected in 1993, but in 1995 he lost Liberal endorsement for Moore, and he became an independent. He managed to win re-election in 1996, but he lost the seat in 1998 to Liberal candidate Mal Washer.
Washer held Moore for five terms, and retired in 2013.. Washer was succeeded in 2013 by Liberal candidate Ian Goodenough, who has been re-elected three times. Ian Goodenough left the Liberal Party in late 2024 after losing preselection for the next election.
Assessment
Moore is very marginal, and Goodenough’s independent candidacy makes this seat more complex. While I think the Liberal Party are favourites to win, it’s hard to be confident.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ian Goodenough | Liberal | 43,706 | 41.8 | -9.7 | 41.8 |
| Tom French | Labor | 34,227 | 32.7 | +8.0 | 31.9 |
| Mark Cooper | Greens | 14,902 | 14.3 | +2.2 | 14.1 |
| Brian Brightman | One Nation | 3,541 | 3.4 | -1.1 | 3.3 |
| Peter Gunness | Western Australia Party | 3,095 | 3.0 | +1.3 | 2.9 |
| Helen Watkinson | United Australia | 2,342 | 2.2 | +0.5 | 2.2 |
| Sue Andersson | Great Australian Party | 1,926 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.7 |
| Independent | 1.3 | ||||
| Martin Suter | Federation Party | 792 | 0.8 | +0.8 | 0.8 |
| Informal | 4,545 | 4.2 | -0.7 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ian Goodenough | Liberal | 52,958 | 50.7 | -11.0 | 50.9 |
| Tom French | Labor | 51,573 | 49.3 | +11.0 | 49.1 |
Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.
The Liberal Party won 53% of the two-party-preferred vote in the south. Labor polled 51.1% in the centre and 51.7% in the north. The Liberal Party won thanks to a majority of the pre-poll vote.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 15.1% in the north to 16.3% in the south.
| Voter group | GRN prim | LIB 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Central | 15.5 | 48.9 | 21,156 | 20.5 |
| South | 16.3 | 53.0 | 16,545 | 16.0 |
| North | 15.1 | 48.3 | 13,866 | 13.4 |
| Pre-poll | 11.8 | 51.3 | 30,833 | 29.8 |
| Other votes | 13.8 | 52.4 | 20,984 | 20.3 |
Election results in Moore at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens.
@PN this result was shocking. I didn’t think anyone could do worse than the state Liberals have been doing at the past three state elections in WA. Turns out Dutton just might be doing worse, or at least in Perth he is. Based on the results from the state election in March I estimate that both Curtin and Moore would be Liberal seats, yet they’ve won neither federally and failed to pick up any seats in WA apart from Bullwinkel (and even that’s still in doubt).
Goodenough as a spoiler hasn’t changed the outcome here. If this was a true knife edge at <50.5 2PP to Labor then potentially it would be the case but at ~53% it's clear the swing was just too strong to make a difference.
I’ll say that the state results indicated this would be a very possible pickup even without all the candidate drama – if the result was in line with the polls, this already would’ve been at least a toss up. As it is, with the nationwide swing to Labor, it was a straightforward win.
@Adda I agree the state election showed there was a chance it could flip but it also showed that it was likely to stay.