Belmont – WA 2021

ALP 11.4%

Incumbent MP
Cassie Rowe, since 2017.

Geography
Inner-eastern Perth. Belmont covers suburbs on the south side of the Swan River, including the suburbs Rivervale, Kewdale, Belmont, Cloverdale, Redcliffe, Ascot, Hazelmere and part of South Guilford. Belmont also covers the Burswood peninsula. The seat covers the entirety of Belmont council area, and parts of Victoria Park, Canning and Swan council areas.

Redistribution
No change.

History
Belmont has existed continuously since 1989, and previously from 1962 until 1974. The seat was held continuously by Labor until 2013.

The seat was won in 1989 by Eric Ripper.

Ripper had won a by-election in the seat of Ascot in 1988, after the resignation of former Deputy Premier Mal Bryce.

In 1989, Ascot was abolished and most of the population was put into Belmont.

Ripper served as Deputy Leader of the Opposition under Geoff Gallop from 1996 to 2001, and then Deputy Premier in the Gallop and Carpenter governments until 2008.

After the ALP lost power in 2008, Ripper became Leader of the Opposition. He held the position until early 2012, when he resigned and was replaced by Mark McGowan.

Ripper retired at the 2013 election, and Belmont was won by Liberal candidate Glenys Godfrey with a 7.6% swing.

Godfrey lost to Labor’s Cassie Rowe in 2017.

Candidates

Assessment
The Liberal Party won Belmont in 2013 but that was at the peak of Liberal support. Labor would be favourites here.

2017 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Cassie Rowe Labor 10,54749.2+6.9
Glenys Godfrey Liberal 6,50030.3-17.0
Bhuwan Khadka Greens 1,6217.6-0.6
Julie MitchellOne Nation1,3976.5+6.5
Sue FraserAustralian Christians3941.8-0.4
Brigit AndersonAnimal Justice3551.7+1.7
Ian BlevinShooters, Fishers & Farmers3561.7+1.7
Miral SobohMicro Business2801.3+1.3
Informal 1,1695.2

2017 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Cassie Rowe Labor 13,16261.4+12.4
Glenys Godfrey Liberal 8,27338.6-12.4

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, with just over 62% in the centre and north and almost 65% in the south.

Voter groupALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
North62.45,70626.6
Central62.34,35320.3
South64.73,73017.4
Pre-poll58.72,45211.4
Other votes58.35,20924.3

Two-party-preferred votes in Belmont at the 2017 WA state election

1 COMMENT

  1. My home seat in inner eastern Perth, will no doubt be held by Labor. Long term it is slowly trending away from Labor, as was seen by the Liberals winning Belmont at the 2013 election but it remains a fairly safe Labor seat that is only won by the Liberals at their high-water mark.

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