ALP 10.9%
Incumbent MP
Judith Graley, since 2006.
Geography
Narre Warren South covers central parts of the City of Casey, specifically the suburbs of Cranbourne North and Narre Warren South and parts of Beaconsfield, Berwick, Hallam, Hampton Park and Narre Warren.
History
Narre Warren South was created at the 2002 election. It was considered to be a marginal Liberal seat, but was won in 2002 by the ALP’s Dale Wilson, who gained a swing of about 14%.
Wilson lost a preselection battle to Judith Graley in 2006, and she held onto the seat, only suffering a small swing.
Candidates
- Claus Endres (Greens)
- Judith Graley (Labor)
- Gary Rowe (Liberal)
- Ian George (Independent)
- Angela Dunleavy (Independent)
- Nathan Dodd (Democratic Labor Party)
- Mark Konkel (Family First)
Political situation
Narre Warren South has a reasonably large margin for the ALP, but has shown a propensity to produce large swings in the past.
2006 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Judith Graley | ALP | 21,853 | 52.82 | -5.48 |
| Michael Shepherdson | LIB | 13,993 | 33.82 | -1.82 |
| Bronwyn Rawlins | FF | 2,870 | 6.94 | +6.94 |
| Meg Tanti | GRN | 2,659 | 6.43 | +0.37 |
2006 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Judith Graley | ALP | 25,965 | 60.94 | -1.66 |
| Michael Shepherdson | LIB | 16,641 | 39.06 | +1.66 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Narre Warren South have been divided into two areas: north and south.
The ALP polled much higher with 64% in the south, while they polled just under 57% in the north. The Greens outpolled Family First in the north, but Family First outpolled the Greens in the south.
| Voter group | GRN % | FF % | ALP 2CP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 5.64 | 6.84 | 64.13 | 18,455 | 43.32 |
| North | 6.95 | 6.83 | 56.95 | 14,433 | 33.90 |
| Other votes | 7.26 | 7.33 | 57.31 | 9,708 | 22.79 |
I assume the Liberal Gary Rowe is the same Gary Rowe who was formerly member for Cranbourne?
Yes, it appears he is.
Can any locals enlighten me on why the booths here are so linear, and what is the reason for the sharp division in political leanings between the two main lines?
Hallam and parts of Hampton Park (in the west) are older and contain some low-rent public housing type areas. Hence the 70%+ vote Labor racks up in those areas. In contrast, Berwick and Narre Warren are typical growing outer suburban areas, and are politically more marginal.
Candidates in ballot paper order are:
Claus Endres – Greens
Judith Graley – Labor
Gary Rowe – Liberal
Ian George –
Angela Dunleavy –
Nathan Dodd – DLP
Mark Konkel – Family First
I just ask that voters will consider all options and look beyond the smoke screen and mirrors. It is your voice and concerns that matter and please ask the questions that are not being raised. Good Luck to all the candidates and Please remember they are the reason you are here. Kind Regards Ian George, Independent candidate Narre Warren South.