Forest Hill – Victoria 2010

ALP 0.8%

Incumbent MP
Kirstie Marshall, since 2002.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Forest Hill mainly covers southeastern parts of the City of Whitehorse, as well as a small area in the northeastern corner of the City of Monash. The seat covers the suburbs of Blackburn South, Burwood East and Vermont South and parts of Forest Hill and Vermont.

History
Forest Hill was first created in 1976. It was won at the 1976 election by Liberal candidate John Richardson. He held the seat until 2002, serving as a shadow minister in the 1980s.

Richardson retired in 2002. A large swing to the ALP saw Olympic skier Kirstie Marshall win the seat at the 2002 election with a 5.8% margin. This was cut to 0.8% at the 2006 election.

Candidates

Political situation
Forest Hill is one of the most marginal Labor seats in Victoria. The Liberal Party would need to win Forest Hill to be on track for a good result.

2006 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Neil AngusLIB14,75744.34+5.68
Kirstie MarshallALP14,00242.07-5.05
Mick KirGRN2,8748.64-0.27
Stella CollinsFF1,6484.95+4.95

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Kirstie MarshallALP16,89650.77-5.01
Neil AngusLIB16,38549.23+5.01

Booth breakdown
Booths in Forest Hill have been divided into four areas: Vermont, Burwood, Blackburn and Glen Waverley. The ALP won a majority in Blackburn and Burwood, both in the west of the seat, and the Liberal Party won in Vermont and Glen Waverley, both in the east.

Polling booths in Forest Hill at the 2006 state election. Blackburn in red, Burwood in blue, Glen Waverley in green, Vermont in blue.

Voter groupGRN %ALP 2CP %Total votes% of votes
Vermont8.3647.199,83629.54
Burwood7.5057.138,32124.99
Blackburn10.7453.064,37813.15
Glen Waverley7.9147.853,79311.39
Other votes9.4548.606,96720.93
Two-party-preferred votes in Forest Hill at the 2006 state election.

2 COMMENTS

  1. Candidates in ballot paper order are:

    Kirstie Marshall – Labor
    James Fung – DLP
    Andrew Henley – Greens
    Daniel Irwin – Sex Party
    Neil Angus – Liberal
    Ivan Stratov – Family First

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