Bayswater – Victoria 2010

LIB 2.9%

Incumbent MP
Heidi Victoria, since 2006.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Bayswater covers northwestern parts of the City of Knox and southwestern parts of the City of Maroondah, specifically the suburbs of Bayswater and Heathmont and parts of Boronia, Knoxfield, Ringwood, Ringwood East, Vermont, Wantirna, and Wantirna South.

History
Bayswater was created in 1992, replacing the former seat of Ringwood. It was considered to be a notional Labor seat that year, but was won by the Liberal Party’s Gordon Ashley.

Ashley held the seat until 2002, when he was defeated by the ALP’s Peter Lockwood.

In 2006, the Liberal Party initially preselected Ashley to run against Lockwood again, but the preselection was overturned and he was replaced by Heidi Victoria. Ashley ran as an independent, and Victoria won the seat.

Candidates

Politial situation
While Bayswater is a very marginal seat, it will probably remain in Liberal hands.

2006 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Heidi VictoriaLIB13,16241.09-3.04
Peter LockwoodALP11,56336.10-9.61
Gordon AshleyIND2,9359.16+9.16
James TennantGRN2,5267.89-2.27
Warwick MurphyFF1,2854.01+4.01
Stephanie MortimerPP3341.04+1.04
Steve RaskovyIND1570.49+0.49
Kurt BeilharzCEC670.21+0.21

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Heidi VictoriaLIB16,98252.83+5.58
Peter LockwoodALP15,16447.17-5.58

Booth breakdown
Booths in Bayswater have been divided into four areas. Heathmont in the City of Maroondah and Wantirna, Bayswater and Boronia in the City of Knox.

The formerly Liberal  independent polled most strongly in Heathmont and Boronia, while the Greens polled most strongly in Heathmont. While the Liberal Party won a majority in all areas, this ranged from 50.8% in Bayswater to 54.8% in Wantirna.

 

Polling booths in Bayswater at the 2006 state election. Heathmont in orange, Bayswater in blue, Boronia in green, Wantirna in yellow.
Voter groupIND %GRN %LIB 2CP %Total votes% of votes
Heathmont12.019.6652.427,59423.62
Wantirna6.096.7654.757,20222.40
Bayswater9.695.9750.775,56217.30
Boronia11.886.7951.234,55014.15
Other votes7.149.3153.927,23822.52
Two-party-preferred votes in Bayswater at the 2006 state election.

3 COMMENTS

  1. Bayswater and Boronia are some of the less affluent parts of Knox, containing significant commercial and light industrial areas in contrast to the predominantly residential Wantirna and Wantirna South. You can also see the same divide in Maroondah Council (‘Heathmont’) between Heathmont itself in the south and more socially mixed Ringwood in the far north.

    Interestingly, Ashley seemed to drain more votes off Labor than the Liberals, which often seems to be the way when an independent runs against their own party.

  2. Candidates in ballot paper order are:

    Sotiria Stratis – Sex Party
    Ronald Prendergast – DLP
    James Tennant – Greens
    Gary Coombes – Family First
    Heidi Victoria – Liberal
    Peter Lockwood – Labor

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