Cause of by-election
Sitting Liberal MP Andrew Constance announced his resignation to contest the federal seat of Gilmore following the resignation of NSW premier Gladys Berejiklian in October 2021.
Margin – LIB 6.9%
The seat was won in 1988 by the Liberal Party’s Russell Smith. He held the seat until his retirement in 2003.
Andrew Constance held Bega for the Liberal Party from 2003 until his retirement in 2021. Constance had served as a minister since 2011, and as Minister for Transport since the 2015 election.
- Jeffrey Hawkins (Independent)
- Karin Geiselhart (Sustainable Australia)
- Ursula Bennett (Independent)
- Michael Holland (Labor)
- Peter Haggar (Greens)
- Victor Hazir (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers)
- Fiona Kotvojs (Liberal)
Constance held Bega with a 6.9% margin in 2019. That margin could certainly be overturned at a by-election. It’s worth noting that Labor won most of the booths in the overlapping parts of Gilmore and Eden-Monaro at the last federal election, which shows potential for growth for state Labor here.
|Eric Thomas||Shooters, Fishers and Farmers||3,275||6.5||+6.5|
|Coral Anderson||Animal Justice||1,371||2.7||+2.7|
2019 two-party-preferred result
Booths in Bega have been split into four parts. Each local government area in the electorate was split into north and south halves. The town of Bega is contained in Bega Valley North, and Batemans Bay is contained in Eurobodalla North.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from just 50.5% in Bega Valley North to 59.5% in Bega Valley South.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 8.8% in northern Eurobodalla to 14.2% in northern Bega Valley.
|Voter group||GRN prim %||LIB 2PP %||Total votes||% of votes|
|Bega Valley South||9.2||59.5||7,268||14.3|
|Bega Valley North||14.2||50.5||6,654||13.1|