Legislative Council – NSW 2023

History
The Legislative Council was directly elected for the first time in 1978. Since then the Council has been elected by a system of proportional representation, with the balance of power held by a variety of minor parties.

Prior to 1995, the Legislative Council was elected one-third at a time, with 15 seats up for election at each lower house election. No minor parties were elected at the 1978 election, but at the next four elections the Christian Democratic Party (under their former name of Call to Australia) won a seat, and at three of these elections the Democrats also won a seat.

The 1995 and 1999 elections produced results with a large number of minor parties winning seats. In 1995, single seats were won by the Christian Democratic Party, the Greens, the Democrats, the Shooters and A Better Future for our Children. In 1999, a seat was won by the CDP, Democrats, Greens, One Nation, Unity, Outdoor Recreation Party and Reform the Legal System.

Following the 1999 election result, the electoral system was changed to abolish ticket voting and allow individual voters to cast preferences for whole parties above the line.

At the 2003 election, the balance changed markedly, with the sole Christian Democrat and Shooters MLCs both re-elected, as well as the sitting Greens MLC. The Greens gained an extra seat.

In 2007, the same result was produced, with the two minor right-wing parties each winning a single seat in addition to the seat they won in 2003, while the Greens won two seats.

In 2011, the CDP and the Shooters and Fishers each maintained one seat, while the Greens won three seats (up from two in 2003 and 2007), producing a total crossbench of five Greens, two Christian Democrats and two Shooters and Fishers.

The Animal Justice Party won their first seat in 2015. The Greens retained the two seats they had won in 2007, while the Shooters and Fishers and Christian Democrats each retained their one seat up for election.

In 2019, Animal Justice won a second seat. The Greens retained two of their three seats. The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers retained one seat, but the Christian Democrats lost their seat – the first election since 1978 that saw Fred Nile’s party fail to win a seat.

One Nation also returned to the upper house, winning two seats.

During this time, there were various results for the major parties. Labor won a majority of seats in 1978 and 1981, but the Labor representation gradually dropped from 9 to 6 from 1978 to 1991. The Coalition won six seats in 1978 and five in 1981, and then seven in 1984, 1988 and 1991.

In 1995, Labor and the Coalition each won eight seats out of 21 elected. Labor again won eight in 1999, but the Coalition dropped to six seats.

Following the change in the electoral system, both major parties gained seats in 2003. Labor’s seat count peaked at ten, with the Coalition increasing to seven.

Labor won nine in 2007, and the Coalition won eight. In 2011, Labor’s vote collapsed, and they only managed to win five seats, while the Coalition won eleven.

Labor partly recovered in 2015, winning seven seats. The Coalition won nine seats.

Labor again won seven seats in 2019 (up two from their 2011 result), while the Coalition retained eight seats, three down from 2011.

Electoral system
The New South Wales Legislative Council is elected using a system of proportional representation, with all MLCs elected to represent the entire state.

There are 42 members of the Legislative Council, with 21 elected at each election for two terms. With such a large number of members elected as a single electorate, the quota is very low at 4.55%.

Up to the 1999 election, the upper house was elected with a 'ticket voting' system similar to that used in the Senate. This led to a situation where one third of seats were won by minor parties, some of whom won a very small vote.

Prior to the 2003 election, the system was reformed to abolish ticket voting. Under the current system, voters can vote 'above the line', but their vote will only flow to candidates of parties who have directly received a preference from that voter.

In practice this has significantly reduced the impact of preferences, but they can still come into play for the final seat.

At the last three elections, the first twenty seats went to candidates in the top 21 on primary votes, but one seat went to a candidate not ranked in the top 21 on primary votes. Pauline Hanson missed out in 2011 despite ranking 20th on primary votes, being overtaken by the Nationals and the Greens. In 2015, Peter Jones of the No Land Tax party narrowly outpolled the Animal Justice Party on primary votes, but was overtaken for the final seat.

In 2019, the Animal Justice Party was outpolled by both the Christian Democratic Party and the Liberal Democrats, but not only managed to overtake both of them, but managed to overtake the second One Nation candidate to win the twentieth seat.

Sitting MLCs

Term expires 2023
 Term expires 2027
Lou Amato (Liberal), since 2015 Mark Banasiak (Shooters, Fishers & Farmers), since 2019
Scott Barrett (Nationals), since 20221 Abigail Boyd (Greens), since 2019
Robert Borsak (Shooters, Fishers & Farmers), since 2010 Mark Buttigieg (Labor), since 2019
Cate Faehrmann (Greens), since 2018 Catherine Cusack (Liberal), since 2003
Scott Farlow (Liberal), since 2015 Anthony D'Adam (Labor), since 2019
Justin Field (Independent), since 20162 Greg Donnelly (Labor), since 2005
Ben Franklin (Nationals), since 20153 Wes Fang (Nationals), since 2017
John Graham (Labor), since 2016 Sam Farraway (Nationals), since 20198
Courtney Houssos (Labor), since 2015 Sue Higginson (Greens), since 20229
Rose Jackson (Labor), since 2019<4/td> Emma Hurst (Animal Justice), since 2019
Shayne Mallard (Liberal), since 2015 Mark Latham (One Nation), since 2019
Matthew Mason-Cox  (Liberal), since 2006 Natasha Maclaren-Jones (Liberal), since 2011
Shaoquett Moselmane (Labor), since 2009 Taylor Martin (Liberal), since 2017
Fred Nile  (Independent), since 19815 Sarah Mitchell (Nationals), since 2011
Mark Pearson (Animal Justice), since 2015 Daniel Mookhey (Labor), since 2015
Peter Poulos (Liberal), since 20216 Tara Moriarty (Labor), since 2019
Chris Rath (Liberal), since 20227 Peter Primrose (Labor), since 1996
Adam Searle (Labor), since 2011 Rod Roberts (One Nation), since 2019
Walt Secord (Labor), since 2011 Penny Sharpe (Labor), since 2005
Bronnie Taylor (Nationals), since 2015 Damien Tudehope (Liberal), since 2019
Mick Veitch (Labor), since 2007 Natalie Ward (Liberal), since 2017

1Scott Barrett was appointed on 24 February 2022 to replace Trevor Khan, who resigned on 06 January 2022
2Justin Field was appointed as a member of the Greens, but resigned from the Greens in April 2019.
3Ben Franklin resigned from the Legislative Council in 2019 to run for the seat of Ballina. He was subsequently appointed to fill the same vacancy following the election.
4Rose Jackson was appointed on 8 May 2019 to replace Lynda Voltz, who had resigned to run for the seat of Auburn.
5Fred Nile was elected as a member of the Christian Democratic Party, but that party was dissolved in March 2022.
6Peter Poulos was appointed on 06 May 2021 to replace John Ajaka, who resigned on 31 March 2021.
7Chris Rath was appointed on 24 March 2022 to replace Don Harwin, who resigned on 22 March 2022.
8Sam Farraway was appointed on 17 October 2019 to replace Niall Blair, who resigned on 16 October 2019.
9Sue Higginson was appointed on 12 May 2022 to replace David Shoebridge, who resigned on 11 April 2022.

2019 result

Group Votes % Swing Quota Seats won
Liberal/Nationals 1,549,751 34.8 -7.8 7.660 8
Labor 1,321,449 29.7 -1.4 6.531 7
Greens 432,999 9.7 -0.2 2.140 2
One Nation 306,933 6.9 +6.9 1.517 2
Shooters, Fishers & Farmers 246,477 5.5 +1.6 1.218 1
Christian Democratic Party 101,328 2.3 -0.6 0.501 0
Liberal Democrats 96,999 2.2 +2.2 0.479 0
Animal Justice Party 86,713 1.9 +0.2 0.429 1
Keep Sydney Open 81,508 1.8 +1.8 0.403 0
Sustainable Australia 65,102 1.5 +1.5 0.322 0
Voluntary Euthanasia Party 46,971 1.1 +0.1 0.232 0
Others 114,916 2.6
Informal 301,681 6.3

On primary votes, the Coalition gained seven seats, Labor six, Greens two, and one seat each for One Nation and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers.

The eighth Coalition candidate (Nationals MLC Wes Fang) was clearly in the lead for the eighteenth seat. For the remaining three seats, there were five candidates between 0.4 and 0.6 quotas: the seventh Labor candidate, the second One Nation candidate, and the lead candidates for the Christian Democratic Party, Liberal Democrats, Animal Justice Party and Keep Sydney Open.

At count 333, when there was no more than one candidate left in each group, the leading candidates stood at:

  • Wes Fang (NAT) - 0.6565 quotas
  • Mark Buttigieg (ALP) - 0.5263
  • Paul Green (CDP) - 0.5061
  • Rod Roberts (ON) - 0.5044
  • David Leyonhjelm (AJP) - 0.4837
  • Emma Hurst (AJP) - 0.4372
  • Tyson Koh (KSO) - 0.4077

The chart at the end of this section shows how these candidates' votes shifted in the final rounds of counting.

Labor quickly widened the gap from the rest of the gap, with a number of left-wing minor parties being knocked out and their preferences favouring Labor, but also Animal Justice. The third Greens candidate and Voluntary Euthanasia boosted both parties.

Preferences from Sustainable Australia flowed most strongly to Animal Justice, pushing them ahead of the Liberal Democrats and very close to One Nation and the Christian Democrats, with those three parties now competing for the final two seats. Sustainable Australia preferences were also helpful to Labor.

Keep Sydney Open was then excluded, with their preferences most strongly boosting Labor, but also pushing Animal Justice ahead of One Nation and the CDP.

Liberal Democrats preferences were not as helpful to the other minor right-wing parties as preferences from left-wing parties had been to the leading left candidates, and mostly favoured the Nationals candidate who was clearly on track to win. This left sitting Christian Democrat MLC Paul Green 5408 votes short of second One Nation candidate Rod Roberts for the final seat.

Candidates
Sitting MLCs Shaoquett Moselmane, Adam Searle, Walt Secord, Mick Veitch (Labor), Mark Pearson (Animal Justice) and Justin Field are not running for re-election.

For most groups, only the first candidate is listed. The first three Greens and One Nation candidates are listed. The first eleven Coalition and Labor candidates are listed. Most groups ran at least 15 candidates. There are six groups that ran less than 15 candidates and thus don't have an above-the-line box - they are marked on the list.

  • J - John Ruddick (Liberal Democrats)
  • K - Oscar Grenfell (Independent) - No ATL box
  • L - Khalil Khay (Public Education Party)
  • M - Michael O'Neill (Informed Medical Options)
  • N - Robert Borsak (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers)
  • O - Jeremy Buckingham (Legalise Cannabis)
  • P - Danny Lim (Independent) - No ATL box
  • Ungrouped
      • Stefan Prasad
      • Colleen Fuller
      • Warren Grzic
      • Van Huynh
      • Archie Lea
      • Michelle Martin
      • Lee Howe
      • Mick Allen
      • R Cheetham
      • Guitang Lu
      • George Potkonyak

Assessment
The current Legislative Council consists of 22 members of parties of the right - 17 Coalition, 2 One Nation, 2 Shooters, Fishers and Farmers, and one Christian Democrat (technically now an independent). It also included 20 members of the left - 14 Labor, 3 Greens, 2 Animal Justice and one ex-Greens independent.

If polling reveals a shift to the left, it is quite plausible that the left could at least win half the seats, or possibly reach up to 22.

It is worth noting that the Coalition's relationship with the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers is not very constructive, and so this should not be taken as a solid pro-government majority, but does give a sense of ideological trends. A Council with the Greens, Animal Justice and potentially other centre-left crossbenchers in the balance of power could look quite different, particularly if it is paired with a Labor government.

The Coalition won nine seats in 2015 and eight in 2019, so a repeat of the last election would see them lose a seat. This was offset by an increase in the number of right-wing minor parties, with the Christian Democrats losing one seat and One Nation winning two, so the last election did not change the 22-20 political divide.

The Greens currently only hold three seats but are only defending one. They should have no trouble winning back the seat they lost when Justin Field quit the party after the 2019 election, and may have some chance of winning a third seat, as they did in 2011.

One Nation are not defending any seats. They should win one seat, and could potentially win a second.

Animal Justice have a good chance of retaining their seat, but their vote is not high enough for that seat to be safe. Legalise Cannabis also has a real shot at winning a seat, and could potentially win that third left crossbench seat rather than the AJP.

The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers should have a high enough vote to retain their seat but don't usually do well enough to be competitive for a second.

Results of the 2019 NSW Legislative Council election for the five highest-polling tickets

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187 COMMENTS

  1. I have this hypothesis that a 1% left-wing minor party increase would benefit Labor more than a 1% right-wing minor party increase would benefit the LNP. Votes for Greens, AJP, Socialists and Fusion are less likely to exhaust than votes for right-leaning parties and single-issue parties.

    According to the 2022 Australian Election Study, Greens voters are more in tune with politics than average (and I assume the same about AJP voters). The Greens and AJP poll best in traditional inner-city Labor heartland as well as affluent, small-l liberal electorates. Their voters most likely still have a favourite major party.

    Parties like PHON, LDP and UAP seem to snatch votes off Labor and LNP, in outer suburban and provincial and regional areas. They present themselves as alternatives for voters “fed up with the major parties” and often attracts an apolitical or apathetic crowd.

    For these reasons, Labor is more dependent on preference flows. If their primary vote isn’t high they would need left-wing minor party votes combined with a high enough preference flow.

  2. Bob Nanva replacing Khal Asfour on ALP ticket. Don’t know why the ALP doesn’t just do a countback of the original preselection result instead of using the whole Asfour thing as a jobs for the boys moment, putting in the party secretary for a safe seat. Probably a 4D chess factional thing that is beyond a mere mortal’s comprehension such as myself.

  3. latham just seem like he wants to be in politics like a sertain former victtiorian minister who became a sky news faverite for attcking the Andrewas it seems latham never realy believed in labor but wanted to become a mp now mihaylouk distroyed khal asfours corear because he had branch support unlike her

  4. latham seems to have held different positions he once believed in climate change being real but now says we shoul d defend coal cumpanies keeping our energy bills high believes religous people should be able to attack gay studdents and has become like sky news he became a labor leader which backs trade unions but now wants to gt rid of unions

  6. Given she managed 10% in the Strathfield by election, I’d say there is a pretty good chance she will gain a good chunk of votes among NIMBY voters statewide but her vote will be concentrated in the inner city and middle ring suburbs with significant high rises.

  7. That’s one way of looking at it.
    On the other hand, 4000 votes in a by election in very unusual circumstances doesn’t bode well for a state wide campaign.
    I would say state wide she will be similar to Jane Caro at the Fed election, something around the 30,000 vote mark.

  10. beni think the pay wall is still up for upper house does any body know if liberal and national have alicated there positions on there ticket seems strange it seems Ben franklin placed higher then Bronie tayler and on labor Camerin murphy seems gto be doing no campaigning desbite being placed third on ticket thanks to cfmmeu at labor fconference maybi this is whiy minns and nsw labor hard left did not want him because he is contravercial

  12. The question to ask about onp.. who is going to be appointed to the casual vacancy Mark creates in.the event onp wins nil 1 or 2 seats in the upper house

  13. I would have imagined that the deal with Tania Mihailuk would have involved her running second on the ticket for ONP, and if she wasn’t successful but Latham was, that she would be appointed to the balance of his term in the Upper House.

  14. that would make sence but mihayliouk is hardly a house hold name i dont think any body has said she was a very good local member plus how many people in banks town would vote one nation any way maybi whiy she failed to have much local labor branch support it would have made more sence to have second place a sky news host

  15. before her out burst against the local mayor no body would have heard of her plus the upper house commity atempting to find any evidence to save her has struggled to find any thing when aligations were made against her the liberal cahir atempted to protect her buy claiing it was acseptable toe make un provin aligations against him but he was not allowed to respond him self as it goes against the political reason of the comitybased on the barilarow scandle the liberals set up a which hunt to atempt to claim labor is just as bad

  16. it is a very low position for Stephn llaurnence have the tickets been confirmed so the new liberal star chris rath droped to unwinable and Ben franklin placed higher then nats deputy leader bronie tayler so for laurence being a great barister 7 is prity low

  18. Watch the upper house inquiry into Canterbury Bankstown council.. this is a witch hunt aiming to damage Mr Asfour.. requested documents back to 2004 . Manager Cban council was asked about a damaging video about Mr Asfour stolen from him which was given to the state mp for Bankstown then subsequently leaked to current Affair TV.. grubby grubby grubby

  19. Cannot see Peter Poulos remaining on the ticket, given his ongoing scandal.
    Perrottet has refused to back his position (at least according to the SMH), and his presence would likely risk driving down the Liberal’s vote.

    If he does end up either resigning, or being kicked out, who’d be in line to replace him?
    Would one of the dumped MLCs be returned to the ticket?

  20. The SMH are now reporting that Poulos has been suspended from the Liberal party, and disendorsed.

    According to the report, Melanie Gibbons and Shayne Mallard are being discussed as key contenders to replace him.

  21. well the main liberal triying to undermine asfour is chhris Rath an alliy of kean who is dumped to an unwinnable spot on the ticket at least mihayloiuk will leave politics 2004 the liberal chairman tried to shut asfour down when he attacked mihaylouuk hopefuly latham will not winn and have to appoint him self to the vackentsy meaning mihaylouk is out of parliament

  22. There is no way gibbins will get the upper house spot her boy friend kent johns a suverlind shier cowncil has strong links to property developers desbite perrottit being a fan she is no longer part of the modderit faction mallard will get it poulos was one of keans clocist backers this is inbarrassing failed to have any of his lower house picks selected apart from sickora south coast and ayad in holesworvy now he loosis the only upper house moderit in a winnable spot

  23. so Shane mallard will get the spot no way nogibbins will get the spot her partner kent johns has links to property developers he is a suverlind shier cowncilor and no longer part of moderits now kean lost pouloshis only suporter on the upper house ticket how ever he did help ayad in holesworvy

  25. so now it is oficialJackqui munro is oficialy the liberals pick to replace poulos interesting to see how the votes will fall labour should pick up some seats as may the greens i dought one nation will do well latham desbite a lot of prodictions has made little impact in the upper house and his stratigy of triying to help liberals get re ilected buy recruiting the little known bankstown mp Tania mihaylouik fell apart when Asfour stood down in order not to be a distraction one nation were very high profile last election but apart from sky news and 2gb latham has made little impact this time

  26. Tania was a very low profile mp suprised how ever that cumberlind cowncilor Crystiou is not running for parliament considering his attacks on hisx soft left allies such as ferguson and finn but must realise he cant winn him or ana sky news identity cameron or orformer 2gb ghoast would have more sence then tania it seems one nation has no tallint in there members so have to pick candadates from outside the party

  27. Aaron- I’d wager Mihailuk gets elected due to the virtual dissolution of the CDP voting bloc, with most of that going to One Nation.
    Also with no other well established right wing party, and conservative Liberal faction frustration with Matt Kean’s hovering influence, Latham will consume a lot of this vote.
    Mihailuk is somewhat unknown in the broader NSW landscape but defection of a sitting MP does give One Nation, an earned/free media push.
    The threshold is also lower, and as long as Latham plays to his base (which he has been with continual ads on 2GB and regular appearances on Paul Murray- like it or not these are effective to his potential voters) he should comfortably get elected and pick up the 2nd spot.
    Mihailuk has been fairly maligned but she is not a political halfwit, she brought large swathes of members into the Bankstown branches to prop up Clare, Jihad and Zangari.
    All 3 have done nothing to grow the party, whilst she did all the work and got nothing.
    I’ve read others saying this is branch stacking but at its core Labor is a workers party steeped in union/ organising movement. If you can’t grow the party, no one shows up on election day or supports your candidacy in preselection.
    The residual impact is also a decline in union membership.
    There’s been very few talented organisers/recruiters in the party in the last 20 years: Tripodi, Ferguson, Mihailuk, Tsirekas, Faker, Melham, Iemma, Carbone and to a lesser extent McDermott (who if given the green light by Sussex St could topple Bowen with his numbers, for McMahon), Thistlewaite, Voltz and D’Adam.

  28. Have people ever spoken to onp electorate office staff … I have it a strange world.. the sky “fans” on their Web page approximate the onp support base and woww they are strange disturbed and convinced Labor is communist and woke.. unions are pink aberration who destroy the world… what ever Albo says is a lie.. they say.. oh the world of the conspiracy. All things being equal onp have a good chance of one seat and possibly a win in.the second.. but 9% Onp on first preferences is unlikely . The issue onp needs to explain and won’t is.. Mark by contesting the 2023 election on a unnecessarily basis creates his own casual vacancy.. they need to explain who fills the casual vacancy in.the event onp wins 0 or 1 seats

  29. Yes Aaron has a point onp lacks talent so must turn to Labor turncoats for their members of parliament. Such people lack basic integrity and cannot justify the u turn in policy beliefs. Tania’s leaving statement says it all.. ” woke and broke”….

  31. dont think so think the claim mihayloiuk was goodwith support in branches seems strange considering she had lost branch supportto retain her seat in parliment and asfour appeared to have mor numbers zangarie is gone and doesnt clarepartof bowens faction

  32. Tania was good at stacking branches this is not growing branches. When this strategy lost it strength. She operated by not affiliating to the alp organisation except in Bankstown Sec..her electorate.
    She then operated on the basis of the 5 branches which were loyal to her.The other 2 branches were not informed of meeting dates and times. This is corruption. Alp rules will be amended to stop this special form of corruption. This is about misuse of power.

  33. Ben this says more about the nature of people who seek power but lack principles or integrity.. such views were never expressed by Tania or Mark whilst they were in the alp..never heard Tania oppose the voice or suggest climate change was unreal or adopt a anti union.stance within the alp

  34. because they would have been kicked out if they spoke out gainst party policy. penny wong opposed gay marriage when the alp did. because if she spoke out shed be disendorsed

  35. Aaron- Mihailuk never lost support with branches that was a misnomer reported by Asfour’s supporters. If Mihailuk lost the vote, highly unlikely, she would’ve invoked the n40 rule and the administrative committee would’ve awarded preselection to her.

    Failing to also factor that the Bankstown electorate in its current form has been abolished and Lakemba de facto becomes the new Bankstown.
    If the seat was never abolished, Mihailuk would still be the member and none of these issues would’ve come to light.
    Asfour was deliberately chosen to replace Moselmane in the Upper House
    to ensure a numbers man in South West Sydney was represented. A token gesture by the party because he would never make it to the Lower House.

    Mihailuk got upset because Minns along with Courtney Houssos and Rose Jackson effectively blocked her nomination for the Upper House despite the fact that she was an adamant supporter of his against McKay.
    Again on paper, Mihailuk has done more to bring in new members and keep branches active than a lot of members in the Upper House: Houssos, Mookhey, Jackson, Graham, Vietch.
    The only good thing to come from the Upper House nominations was to see Cameron Murphy knock off Vietch and leapfrog most of the incumbents thanks to backing from the only
    unions with spine: HSU, ETU and CMMFEU

    I think given Tania had to step aside for Clare in Blaxland when that came up in 2007 (despite having the numbers), had her seat abolished despite members like Jihad (who has done nothing to grow the party) and Zangari (who did resign but again saw a decline of branch member attendance) keep their seats and then Asfour ascend whilst their was no other vacancies afforded.
    But ultimately it says more to Minns weak leadership and the undergraduate 20 somethings that advise him.

    Mick- It’s great you are such an adamant supporter of the Labor party, I too once was. But Labor always takes more from members than it gives back. No individual owes blind allegiance to any political party, least of all elected members who are already effective representatives of their local community.
    Labor is going to learn the hard way, with the gradual collapse of quorum in branches across western and south western sydney that many current sitting members will suffer the same fate as many of their former liberal contemporaries have in the Northern and Eastern Sydney electorates.
    It may happen slower but these will eventually flip from Labor to a combination of conservative independent and Liberal.
    Massive demographic flips are occurring right across the city and I don’t think the ALP is prepared for this.

  36. im not from the ariait seems mihayloiuk sitill has a few suporters left in the party it is obveous that the emedia reports were corect thatshe had little support in bankstown branches and asfour who is close to tony burke had most support as she would have lost preselection thats whiy she defected to one nation she has attacked climate action foor a couple of years now saying the voters dont care about climate action

  37. Were getting distracted from discusing the upper house in to bankstown alabour but if minns was such a weak leader whiy did tania and her friend zangarie fight for two years to install him

  38. im not from the ariait seems mihayloiuk sitill has a few suporters left in the party it is obveous that the emedia reports were corect thatshe had little support in bankstown branches and asfour who is close to tony burke had most support as she would have lost preselection thats whiy she defected to one nation she has attacked climate action foor a couple of years now saying the voters dont care about climate act

  39. Asfour resigned to stop the distraction of tania desbite doing nothing rong Zangarie retired as well he was mihaylouks only allie the soft left the faction that backed murphy are good at branch numbers loose paul lynch but havehagarty and liverpool candadate plus kylie wilkinson and anne stanley federaly

  40. According to the most recent NSWEC register of candidates, Fred Nile will be running second on the ‘Revive Australia Party’ ticket, behind his wife.

    Turns out that he’s not retiring after all, however he’ll be in a struggle to hold onto his seat (unless below the line votes really help him out, which is a chance).
    I’d expect Mark Latham to win at his expense.

  42. I thought I’d post here a summary of the Legislative Assembly Candidates I currently have running:
    I get 387 Candidates currently (with 184 of those registered to campaign with Funding & Disclosure Online)
    ALP 86, LIB 52, GRN 79, SAP 36, AJP 22, NAT 20, ON 13, SFF 5, IMOP 5, LC 3, SA 2, LDP 1, 4 Others (2x Communist League, 1x Socialist Equality Party, 1x Progressive/Other) and 59 Independents.

    This is based off Tallyroom, Twitter, FB, ABC, NSWEC Register and Wikipedia from what I could find. Probably missed more and I don’t count ones that are TBC (some on SAP Website for example) or some of the smaller parties and independents are harder to find. Happy to be corrected but thought this was a good starting point for talk with nominations opening tomorrow. (It could also be some registered won’t end up nominating, especially some of the INDs)

    Some interesting points:
    There are 2 Seats with both Coalition parties contesting (Port Macquarie, Wagga Wagga).

    Some candidates have switched houses to contest (Troy Irwin LegCo>Oatley, Van Huynh Willoughby>LegCo), some candidates have gone from IND>Minors (Rosa Sicari Campbelltown IND>LDP, Neil Turner Maitland IND>ON) or the opposite way (Deborah Swinbourn ON>IND).

    There are 2 seats with potentially 3 independents contesting: North Shore, Oxley.

    The unregistered parties are contesting the following: SEP- Bankstown, Communist League-Blacktown, Liverpool, Progessive/Other – Sydney

    Seats with the least current candidates:
    Granville (1)
    Cabramatta, Charlestown, Fairfield, Macquarie Fields, Mount Druitt, Murray, Prospect, Rockdale, Strathfield, Wollongong (2)
    Seats with the most current candidates:
    Campbelltown (ALP, LIB, GRN, AJP, ON, LDP, IND), Lismore (ALP, NAT, GRN, AJP, SFF, SAP, IND), North Shore (ALP, LIB, GRN, SAP, IND, IND, IND) (7)
    Cessnock, Coffs Harbour, Orange, Oxley, Penrith, Port Stephens, Upper Hunter, Wakehurst, Willoughby, Wollondilly (6)

    It’s almost open season fellow Pseph’s, happy hunting! (Thanks to everyone for their comments. I’ve enjoyed following them and learning about the different local seat battles!)

  43. I think its fairly obvuous Fred just added his name to the ballot to attract more votes to the group ticket, not to get himself elected.

  44. i think latham seems yto be going after the nile vote with his focus on so called religis fredom desbite him not being religous him self mostly the upper house is a party ticket vote not indevidiual but suprised cameron murphy who was pushed bbuy the soft left aand cfmeu has not made much impact

  45. Jeremy Buckingham preselected in the top spot for Legalise Cannabis, a ballot position quite likely to get elected. And with this news I begin to think, ‘eight years really is a long time.’

  46. its disapointing buckingham is back given how good legalise canibus has gone in wa and vick he is likely to get up interestinggly his former allie kate faehrmann is heading the greens ticket at this election would explain whiy his enimy David shoebridge is pushing for the greens to adopt drug legalization cameron merphy is heping out in east hills but not doing much for his upper house spot he took a country spot but lives insydney

  48. Aaron, David is pushing the cannabis legalisation because he has the attorney-general portfolio.

    Ben or others, I thought Mark Latham and Natasha Maclaren-Jones had to resign before the prorogation of parliament, which was yesterday, if they wanted to recontest prior to the end of their mandate? But I have not seen anything as such – what’s the deal here?

  50. speaking of upper house how doe we think one nation will go mark latham istargiting the small nile vote with his attacks on trans gender and calls to give more power for religous schools to descriminate againstsame sex studdents and teachers how ever he has made litle impact apart from sky news has not recieved much coverige does not seem to be campaigning much and the stratigy behind mihayliouk as second to atempt to damage labor buy bringing up obead would not work as asfour withdrew from the ticket plus nile struggled to be re elected in 2015 and buckingham runing in leglise fcanibas how will this effect the greens

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