Bob Baldwin, since 2001, previously held the seat 1996-1998.
Paterson lies on the north coast of New South Wales immediately to the north of Newcastle. The seat covers Dungog, Forster, Port Stephens, Raymond Terrace and parts of Maitland.
Paterson lost Gloucester LGA at the northern end of the seat to Lyne. The seat gained a small area near Raymond Terrace from Newcastle and part of Maitland LGA from Hunter. These changes reduce the Liberal margin from 1.5% to 0.6%.
A seat called Paterson in the northeastern Hunter was first created in 1949 and won by Allen Fairhall of the Liberal Party, who served as a minister in the Menzies, Holt and Gorton governments before retirement in 1969. He was succeeded by Frank O’Keefe of the Country Party, who held the seat until 1984, when it was abolished in the redistribution.
The seat was recreated in 1993, when it was won by Labor’s Bob Horne. In 1996 he was defeated by Bob Baldwin of the Liberal Party. Over the next two elections, the ‘two Bobs’ successively defeated each other, with Horne winning in 1998 and Baldwin in 2001. Horne retired after his 2001 defeat and Baldwin was re-elected in 2004 and 2007.
- Kevin Leayr (One Nation)
- Anna Balfour (Christian Democratic Party)
- Veronica Lambert (Family First)
- Jan Davis (Greens)
- Bob Baldwin (Liberal) – Member for Paterson 1996-1998, and since 2001.
- Jim Arneman (Labor)
- Paul Hennelly (Independent)
- Josef Wiedenhorn (Independent)
2007 two-candidate-preferred result
Results do not take into consideration effects of the redistribution.
I have divided booths into four regiosn:
- Dungog – booths in Dungog LGA
- South-West – booths in Maitland LGA as well as booths in western parts of Port Stephens LGA, including East Maitland, Raymond Terrace and Medowie.
- Port Stephens – booths near Port Stephens. This includes eastern parts of Port Stephens LGA as well as booths in Great Lakes LGA on the northern shore of Port Stephens.
- Great Lakes – booths in Great Lakes LGA except for those near Port Stephens. Dominated by booths in Forster.
The ALP won a majority in 2007 in booths in the southwestern corner of the seat, where about 40% of ordinary votes were cast. The Liberals won slight majorities in the other three parts of the seat. The Liberals won all booths in the rural interior of the seat. Booths in Forster and Port Stephens were split, with the Liberals winning a majority of booths while a minority voted solidly for the ALP. Most booths in Maitland and Raymond Terrace voted for the ALP.
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