John Cobb, 2007. Previously Member for Parkes 2001-2007.
Central West NSW. Calare covers the towns of Bathurst, Lithgow, Blayney, Orange, Oberon, Parkes and Forbes, as well as other areas around those towns.
Calare was radically redrawn between the 2004 and 2007 elections, and most of these changes were reversed for the 2010 election.
The 2007 boundaries took in Cowra and Grenfell to the south of the 2010 boundaries, as well as a large part of western NSW, including Wilcannia, Bourke, Brewarrina and Narromine. The 2010 redistribution saw the seat expand to cover Bathurst, Lithgow and Oberon and surrounding areas, previously included in Macquarie.
The redistribution reduced the margin for the Nationals from 12% to 3.5%.
Calare was first created for the 1906 election, replacing the abolished seat of Canobolas. The seat has been held by all political parties over the last century.
The seat was first won by Thomas Brown (ALP) in 1906. Brown had previously held Canobolas since 1901, and he held the seat until he was defeated in 1913 by Henry Pigott of the Commonwealth Liberal Party. He held the seat for the Liberals and the Nationalists until he was defeated by Thomas Lavelle (ALP) in 1919.
Lavelle was defeated in 1922 by Major General Neville Howse, who won the seat for the Nationalists. Pigott had also contested the seat unsuccessfully for the new Country Party. Howse won a Victoria Cross during the Boer War and went on to serve as a senior officer in the First World War.
Howse served as a minister in the Stanley Bruce government before losing his seat in 1929 to George Gibbons (ALP), who was defeated by Harold Thorby of the Country Party at the next election. Thorby had previously been a state minister and went on to serve as a minister in Joseph Lyons’ federal government.
Thorby was defeated by John Breen (ALP) in 1940, and Breen held the seat until his defeat in 1946 by John Howse (LIB), the son of the former member for the seat Neville Howse.
Howse junior held the seat until his resignation in 1960. John England of the Country Party won the seat in the following by-election, and held it until the 1975 election. The seat was then won by Sandy Mackenzie.
Sandy Mackenzie lost the seat to David Simmons (ALP) in 1983. Simmons served as a federal minister from 1989 to 1993, and retired at the 1996 election.
The seat was won in 1996 by former television journalist Peter Andren, running as an independent. Andren won the seat on a 29% primary vote in 1996, with the ALP, Nationals and Liberals all polling less. Andren won 63% of the two-party preferred vote against the Nationals.
Andren set out an independent path, pursuing progressive politics while promoting regional interests. He was re-elected in 1998, 2001 and 2004 with over 70% of the two-party preferred vote.
The 2007 election saw the seat of Calare effectively abolished in its existing form, and Andren announced plans to run for the Senate in New South Wales. However, he was diagnosed with cancer and cancelled his plans to run for the Senate and decided to retire. Andren died of cancer in early November 2007, and the seat was won by John Cobb (NAT), then a junior minister in the Howard government and Member for Parkes.
- Jessyka Norsworthy (Christian Democratic Party)
- Paul Blanch (Independent)
- Kevin Duffy (Labor) – Mayor of Cabonne
- Karen Romano (Independent)
- Jeremy Buckingham (Greens) – Orange City councillor
- John Cobb (Nationals) – Member for Calare since 2007, previously Member for Parkes 2001-2007.
- Macgregor Ross (Independent)
A margin of 3.5% appears very winnable for the ALP in 2010. While Calare is definitely part of western NSW, it has a history of being held by the ALP during the Hawke/Keating government. If the ALP finds a strong candidate and can improve their performance in areas like Orange which were contained in the safer Calare in 2007, this seat could change hands.
The seat also has a long history of independent representation, with Andren holding it for eleven years, and the overlapping state district of Dubbo has been held by independents since 1999. If a strong independent candidate stands they may either win the seat or decide the result on their preferences.
|David John Simpson||CEC||794||0.96||+0.13|
2007 two-candidate-preferred result
Results do not take into consideration effects of the redistribution.
Eight local government areas cover the seat of Calare. I have divided the vote between those eight LGAs. I have also included special votes cast in both Calare and Macquarie. In addition to showing the Greens primary vote and Labor/Nationals two-party preferred vote, I have also included the vote for independent Gavin Priestley. Priestley polled 23% of the vote in Calare, including over 20% in all regions of the new seat of Calare that were included in the old seat, with the exception of the Forbes area. The local government areas of Lithgow and Oberon, and most of Bathurst Regional Council, were in the seat of Macquarie in 2007, therefore Priestley received no votes in that part of the seat.
The ALP won in Bathurst and Lithgow, in the eastern part of the seat. The Nationals won in Blayney and Oberon, in the south-east of the seat, by a margin of less than 10%, and won in Orange by a similar margin. Unlike Bathurst, Lithgow and other LGAs, the Orange LGA only covers the urban area of Orange, while the nearby areas are contained in Cabonne LGA.
The Nationals won in Cabonne, Parkes and Forbes by much larger margins, with 63-66% of the vote.
|Voter group||GRN %||IND %*||NAT 2CP %||Total votes||% of ordinary votes|
|Other votes – Macquarie||10.70||45.07||18,490|
|Other votes – Calare||3.51||22.07||65.06||16,441|
*Votes received by independent Gavin Priestley in Calare. Vote in Bathurst only covers that part of Bathurst LGA then covered by Calare.