Tasmania flew under the radar in the lead up to the recent election, because of the lack of state polling in Tasmania. It was a “known unknown” to quote Donald Rumsfeld, and I do remember commenting that we didn’t know how things were going in Tasmania, but still we did not know. This did create space for some fevered commenters on this website to confidently assert that Labor was on track to be badly beaten, but now we know better.
This booth map covers the three electorates that cover the north or centre of the state. You can toggle between the 2PP vote and the primary vote for Labor and Liberal, both seeing the percentage and the swing.
The swings to Anne Urquhart in Braddon were massive, and I can’t see enormous differences across the seat – perhaps slightly bigger swings in Devonport and Ulverstone than Burnie, but we’re still talking mid-teen 2PP swings in Burnie.
Swings were still big but a bit more modest in Bass. Within Launceston, the swings were bigger in the south and east.
It does look like Labor’s swings in Lyons were bigger in the north, close to Launceston.
But almost every booth in these three seats recorded a swing to Labor on the 2PP.
Anyone able to explain the big swings in Bass and Braddon? Any chance some state level dissapointment with the Lib state govt?
Lyons I can half understand by running Rebecca White.