The big swinging seats

The pendulum orders every seat in the country by the swing required for that seat to change hands. By following the pendulum you can determine roughly how many seats will fall with a particular national vote. Antony Green has built a calculator which can...

Tasmanian Legislative Council 2013 – results wrap

Yesterday's Legislative Council elections were a good result for the Liberal Party, and produced three relatively solid results. Below the fold I've posted booth results maps for the top two candidates in each seat. Antony Green's ABC Elections page includes results in each polling place,...

Tasmanian Legislative Council results

Montgomery  - Hiscutt (LIB) 45.83%, Fuller 29.64%, Morgan 14.52%, Vincent 10.01% Nelson - Wilkinson 48.80%, Baxter (GRN) 25.33%, Richardson 17.65%, Willink 8.22% Pembroke - Goodwin (LIB) 50.98%, Ritchie 36.35%, Heatley (GRN) 12.67% 8:10pm - With most of the results in, the picture is reasonably clear. In Nelson, Wilkinson...

Seat #48: Dawson

Dawson is a marginal LNP seat covering the north Queensland coast between Mackay and Townsville, and including the towns of Bowan and Ayr. The seat was held by the National Party's De-Anne Kelly for the entirety of the Howard government, and was defeated by James...

WA 2013 – results maps from the key seats

The WA Electoral Commission in the last few days has posted two-candidate-preferred figures per booth from the March state election. This has allowed me to produce the long-promised booth maps for a handful of they key seats that were the last to be decided. I have...

Lyndhurst by-election results wrap-up

Update: results now include prepoll figures that came in late on the night. The Greens have overtaken the Sex Party, coming fifth. The DLP have overtaken Hung Vo for third place. ---- Lyndhurst's by-election will certainly see Labor candidate Martin Pakula elected, but the results were...

Lyndhurst by-election live

8:23pm - All ordinary votes have come in, with prepoll and postal votes yet to come. Labor's vote is sitting just over 40%. Sex Party and Greens preferences will ensure Labor wins, but it's a big loss. I'm going to come back later tonight...

Tasmanian Legislative Council profiles posted

Voters in three Tasmanian Legislative Council seats go to the polls on May 4 to elect upper house members for the next six years. Profiles have been prepared for the three races, including results of the previous election, history of the seat, and list of...

Northern Tablelands by-election guide

Last week, Richard Torbay's political career came to an end. He's been a state independent MP for Northern Tablelands since 1999, and served as Speaker of the Legislative Assembly from 2007 to 2011. He was preselected to run for the Nationals in New England against...

Victorian redistribution: round one

The four parties represented in the Victorian parliament have all put in submissions for the redistribution leading up the 2014 election. These boundaries were last drawn prior to the 2002 election, and in some areas seat populations have diverged quite dramatically from the average. Generally the...